Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 22

Date: 26 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio 9 de Mayo (Machala)

Referee: Zambrano Y. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	Zapping Sports
Ecuador	Teleamazonas, Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Orense		Independiente del Valle

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.5	1.71	Watch
	4.33	3.50	1.66
	4.55	3.5	1.7	Watch
	4.85	3.83	1.78
	4.87	3.77	1.69	Watch
	4.25	3.75	1.76
	4.72	3.71	1.7	Watch
	4.5	3.5	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.57 ↑ (4)	3.63 ↑ (3.35)	1.71 ↓ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orense
20.3%

Draw
25.5%

Independiente del Valle
54.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.1%

27.6%

49.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22%

26.3%

51.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Independiente del Valle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orense than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Orense - Independiente del Valle Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Ind del Valle will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ind del Valle (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Ortiz J. (G) 31. Velasco P. (C) 5. Lorenzo A. 4. Quinonez S. 15. Caicedo B. 7. Vasquez S. 21. Rostagno G. 25. Jaramilo R. 11. Herrera A. 10. Parrales M. 19. Bermudez M.	1. Quintana A. (G) 4. Espinoza J. 5. Schunke R. (C) 23. Viacava J. 15. Cortez G. 32. Mendez J. 11. Perello M. 55. Guagua D. 16. Briones R. 31. Pata E. 50. Angulo J.
Substitutes
24. Achilier G. 6. Callegari S. 53. Garces L. 50. Hernandez E. 57. Mairongo S. 13. Mena A. 51. Ortiz C. 14. Pluas E. 2. Quinonez B. 33. Quintero D. 12. Silva R. (G) 54. Zambrano Pesantez E. S.	6. Alcivar J. 12. Bores E. (G) 14. Carabajal M. 19. Loor L. 28. Quintana H. 56. Quintero E. 99. Reasco D. 17. Rodriguez A. 13. Romero Padilla D. A. 10. Sornoza J. 52. Vasquez Y. 33. Velasco A.
Coaches
Robles A.	Papa J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Guagua D. ⚽, Viacava J. (A),
43', Briones R. 🟨,
43', Jaramilo R. 🟨,
45+1', Guagua D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Pata E. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
46', Jaramilo R. ↓, Pluas E. ↑,
46', Schunke R. ↓, Carabajal M. ↑,
53', 1 - 1, Parrales M. ⚽, Bermudez M. (A),
54', Parrales M. ↓, Mena A. ↑,
57', Briones R. ↓, Quintana H. ↑,
57', Guagua D. ↓, Sornoza J. ↑,
61', 1 - 2, Quintana H. ⚽,
63', 1 - 3, Perello M. ⚽, Angulo J. (A),
64', 2 - 3, Vasquez S. ⚽, Pluas E. (A),
74', Velasco P. 🟨,
74', Parrales M. 🟨,
76', Bermudez M. ↓, Zambrano Pesantez E. S. ↑,
79', Perello M. ↓, Quintero E. ↑,
81', Viacava J. 🟨,
83', Rostagno G. ↓, Ortiz C. ↑,
90+2', Herrera A. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orense won 0.

Orense has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ind del Valle is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Orense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ind del Valle is seen as the favorite.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Orense won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 12:26. (average 0.8:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Orense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 0.9:1.6).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ind. del Valle	30	24	2	4	73:33	40	74

Last Results with these Odds

Orense - the odds 4 are the expected chance of winning is 23.14%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Independiente del Valle - the odds 1.88 are the expected chance of winning is 49.23%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orense SC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
23.07.26	Orense - SD Aucas	2:1 ✺
20.07.26	Mushuc Runa - Orense	2:1 ✺
16.07.26	Orense - Emelec	0:2 ✺
11.07.26	Manta - Orense	0:0 ✺
06.07.26	Orense - Técnico Universitario	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLLTL
- Independiente del Valle
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
22.07.26	Independiente del Valle - Técnico Universitario	3:0 ✺
19.07.26	Independiente del Valle - Emelec	6:1 ✺
16.07.26	SD Aucas - Independiente del Valle	0:3 ✺
11.07.26	Mushuc Runa - Independiente del Valle	1:4 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
08.07.26	Deportivo Santo Domingo - Independiente del Valle	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
04.04.26	Independiente del Valle - Orense	2:0
23.11.25	Independiente del Valle - Orense	0:0
17.10.25	Orense - Independiente del Valle	1:2
16.08.25	Independiente del Valle - Orense	2:1
27.04.25	Orense - Independiente del Valle	1:2
01.12.24	Orense - Independiente del Valle	0:0
02.06.24	Independiente del Valle - Orense	1:0

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