Match Info

Liga de Primera - Round 17

Date: 2 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio La Portada (La Serena)

Referee: Vejar F. (Chi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Deportes La Serena		OHiggins

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.5	2.65	Watch
	2.40	3.40	2.70
	2.42	3.45	2.72	Watch
	2.48	3.69	2.74
	2.41	3.62	2.66	Watch
	2.4	3.6	2.65
	2.3	3.45	2.55	Watch
	2.39	3.35	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.63)	3.51 ↑ (3.47)	2.66 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes La Serena
38.7%

Draw
26.4%

OHiggins
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

26.9%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

26.4%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes La Serena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

OHiggins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes La Serena than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for OHiggins than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Deportes La Serena - OHiggins Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Deportes La Serena will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). OHiggins will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Tapia J. (G) 21. Gutierrez B. 34. Rasso I. 5. Alarcon L. 17. Salazar Y. 8. Escalante G. 6. Diaz S. 4. Mac Allister F. 14. Chamorro F. 2. Figueroa G. 10. Vargas J. (C)	31. Carabali O. (G) 2. Morales C. 22. Robledo A. (C) 33. Brizuela M. 20. Diaz L. 8. Felipe Ogaz 11. Leiva J. 29. Yanez B. 10. Rabello B. 14. Maturana M. 9. Castillo A.
Substitutes
26. Dinamarca F. 16. Gutierrez J. 23. Marin M. 28. Orellana J. 7. Oroz A. 29. Pinto M. 38. Saez I. (G) 19. Sandoval B. 20. Velasquez M.	17. Aviles T. 3. Faundez F. 26. Godoy R. 18. Moreira E. 27. Movillo J. 13. Munoz J. 6. Pavez L. 1. Pena Jorge (G) 30. Tapia J.
Coaches
Gutierrez F.	Bovaglio L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Vargas J. ⚽, Chamorro F. (A),
26', Maturana M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
56', Chamorro F. ↓, Marin M. ↑,
61', Maturana M. ↓, Tapia J. ↑,
62', Diaz S. 🟨,
66', 1 - 1, Castillo A. ⚽,
70', Alarcon L. 🟨,
73', Rabello B. ↓, Munoz J. ↑,
80', Escalante G. ↓, Oroz A. ↑,
80', Gutierrez B. ↓, Gutierrez J. ↑,
86', Morales C. ↓, Faundez F. ↑,
86', Leiva J. ↓, Moreira E. ↑,
86', Diaz L. ↓, Pavez L. ↑,
86', Alarcon L. ↓, Dinamarca F. ↑,
90+5', 1 - 2, Castillo A. ⚽, Yanez B. (A),

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes La Serena won 1.

In recent matches, Deportes La Serena has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

OHiggins's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

OHiggins may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Deportes La Serena won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportes La Serena won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	La Serena	23	7	9	7	34:38	-4	30
13	O'Higgins	24	8	3	13	28:38	-10	27

Last Results with these Odds

OHiggins - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 37.63%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes La Serena
Chilean Primera Division
25.07.26	Universidad Católica - Deportes La Serena	3:3 ✺
Chilean Cup
12.07.26	Cobreloa - Deportes La Serena	1:0 ✺
05.07.26	Deportes La Serena - Deportes Antofagasta	2:4 ✺
01.07.26	Cobresal - Deportes La Serena	0:1 ✺
28.06.26	Deportes La Serena - Cobreloa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 TLLWW
- OHiggins
Copa Sudamericana
30.07.26	OHiggins - Boca Juniors	1:1 penalties ✺
Chilean Primera Division
26.07.26	Deportes Concepción - OHiggins	2:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
23.07.26	Boca Juniors - OHiggins	1:0 ✺
Chilean Copa de la Liga
12.07.26	OHiggins - Ñublense	2:0 penalties ✺
09.07.26	Ñublense - OHiggins	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
07.02.26	OHiggins - Deportes La Serena	1:0
09.08.25	Deportes La Serena - OHiggins	3:3
09.03.25	OHiggins - Deportes La Serena	1:1
03.07.22	Deportes La Serena - OHiggins	1:0
04.02.22	OHiggins - Deportes La Serena	3:0
14.09.21	Deportes La Serena - OHiggins	2:0
17.04.21	OHiggins - Deportes La Serena	0:0

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