Match Info

ECUADOR: Liga Pro - First stage - Round 2

Date: 23 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa (Quito)

Referee: Contreras O. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Teleamazonas, Zapping
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	Fanatiz


	Universidad Católica del Ecuador		El Nacional

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.44	4.33	5.25
				Watch
	1.49	4.59	5.86
				Watch
	1.5	4.2	5.8
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.75)	4.37 ↑ (3.86)	5.64 ↑ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universidad Católica del Ecuador
62.5%

Draw
21.1%

El Nacional
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

23.8%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad Católica del Ecuador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Universidad Católica del Ecuador's performance.

El Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and El Nacional might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Universidad Católica del Ecuador - El Nacional Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Lara J. (G) 29. Anangono G. 33. Canga L. 37. Medina C. 20. Castillo Saa J. L. 5. Cacciabue J. 8. Clavijo E. 9. Londono A. 28. Diaz M. 11. Diaz I. (C) 18. Palacios B.	1. Chala L. (C) 25. Montano M. 4. Cabezas Briones R. A. 18. Rivera B. 24. Mora F. 13. Caicedo E. 17. Velez C. 15. Cela A. 14. Pazmino D. 10. Borja J. 16. Cifuentes J.
Substitutes
7. Fajardo J. 4. Jhon Chancellor 30. Maciel M. 15. Moreno L. 3. Mosquera I. 23. Rodriguez A. 13. Romero Padilla D. A. 14. Sanchez I. 2. Sevillano M. 17. Troya R. 1. Valencia E. (G) 44. Valencia E.	32. Bedoya A. 12. Cabezas D. (G) 29. Cevallos J. 7. Chala J. 9. De Jesus B. 20. Guisamano J. 21. Ledesma A. 8. Martinez F. 19. Mejia E. 26. Mena A. 6. Olmedo M.
Coaches
Martinez D.	Asad O. A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Cela A. ⚽, Mora F. (A),
25', Cifuentes J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Caicedo E. 🟨,
63', 1 - 1, Palacios B. ⚽, Londono A. (A),
64', Cela A. ↓, Olmedo M. ↑,
64', Castillo Saa J. L. 🟨,
66', Clavijo E. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
67', Cifuentes J. ↓, Ledesma A. ↑,
67', Pazmino D. ↓, Mejia E. ↑,
71', Palacios B. ↓, Fajardo J. ↑,
71', Diaz M. ↓, Troya R. ↑,
78', Borja J. ↓, Martinez F. ↑,
78', Velez C. ↓, Chala J. ↑,
80', Canga L. 🟨,
85', Castillo Saa J. L. ↓, Jhon Chancellor ↑,
85', Londono A. ↓, Maciel M. ↑,

Preview

El Nacional is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

El Nacional could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently El Nacional have a series of home games.

In this match Uni Católica is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Uni Católica won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:2 (average 2:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Uni Católica won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1 (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universidad Católica del Ecuador
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
16.02.25	Emelec - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	0:4 ✺
30.11.24	Deportivo Macará - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	1:2 ✺
24.11.24	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - LDU Quito	2:4 ✺
09.11.24	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - SD Aucas	3:2 ✺
04.11.24	Técnico Universitario - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWLWL
- CD El Nacional
Copa Libertadores
19.02.25	El Nacional - Barcelona Guayaquil	0:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
16.02.25	El Nacional - Deportivo Cuenca	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
13.02.25	El Nacional - Blooming	3:1 penalties ✺
06.02.25	Blooming - El Nacional	3:2 ✺
Ecuadorian Super Cup
01.02.25	El Nacional - LDU Quito	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
04.08.24	El Nacional - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	0:2
03.03.24	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - El Nacional	3:0
02.09.23	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - El Nacional	1:1
08.04.23	El Nacional - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	1:2

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