Match Info

VENEZUELA: Copa Venezuela - Round 6

Date: 3 July 2024, Wednesday


	Deportivo Nueva Esparta		Universidad Central

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.3	1.8
	6.19	4.05	1.43
	6.44	4.16	1.44	Watch
	5.5	3.8	1.5
	6.93	4.3	1.39
	5.2	3.7	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.67 ↑ (3.75)	3.89 ↑ (3.4)	1.52 ↓ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Nueva Esparta
16.1%

Draw
23.6%

Universidad Central
60.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24%

26.4%

49.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

23.5%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Nueva Esparta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Nueva Esparta's form might have worsened.

Universidad Central has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Universidad Central's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Nueva Esparta than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Nueva Esparta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Central than the current prediction. (-16.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Universidad Central, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Deportivo Nueva Esparta - Universidad Central Predictions

Users Predictions: Universidad Central will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Conrado J. ⚽,
28', 1 - 1, Alcocer B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+1', 1 - 2, Romero C. ⚽,

Preview

Nueva Esparta has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Universidad Central is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Nueva Esparta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Universidad Central is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Nueva Esparta won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Nueva Esparta
Copa Venezuela
27.06.24	Academia Anzoátegui - Deportivo Nueva Esparta	4:1 ✺
19.06.24	Universidad Central - Deportivo Nueva Esparta	1:0 ✺
Venezuelan Segunda Division
16.06.24	Marítimo de La Guaira - Deportivo Nueva Esparta	0:0 ✺
09.06.24	Deportivo Nueva Esparta - Deportivo Miranda	0:3 ✺
Copa Venezuela
06.06.24	Deportivo Nueva Esparta - Academia Anzoátegui	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LLTLL
- Universidad Central de Venezuela FC
Copa Venezuela
30.06.24	Universidad Central - Academia Anzoátegui	0:0 ✺
19.06.24	Universidad Central - Deportivo Nueva Esparta	1:0 ✺
13.06.24	Academia Anzoátegui - Universidad Central	1:0 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
25.05.24	Universidad Central - Deportivo La Guaira	0:2 ✺
18.05.24	Metropolitanos - Universidad Central	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Venezuela
19.06.24	Universidad Central - Deportivo Nueva Esparta	1:0

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