Match Info

VENEZUELA: Copa Venezuela - Round 3

Date: 19 June 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Olimpico de la UCV (Caracas)


	Universidad Central		Deportivo Nueva Esparta

	1	X	2
	1.29	4.5	9.25
	1.3	4.5	8.5
	1.31	4.5	9
	1.27	4.6	9.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.41)	4.53 ↑ (4.4)	9.14 ↑ (8.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universidad Central
70.1%

Draw
20%

Deportivo Nueva Esparta
9.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.1%

21.5%

11.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

12.2%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad Central has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Deportivo Nueva Esparta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Central than the current prediction. (-32%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Universidad Central that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Nueva Esparta than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Nueva Esparta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Universidad Central - Deportivo Nueva Esparta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
69', 1 - 0, Alcocer B. ⚽,

Preview

Universidad Central is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Nueva Esparta has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Nueva Esparta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Universidad Central is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universidad Central de Venezuela FC
Copa Venezuela
13.06.24	Academia Anzoátegui - Universidad Central	1:0 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
25.05.24	Universidad Central - Deportivo La Guaira	0:2 ✺
18.05.24	Metropolitanos - Universidad Central	5:2 ✺
11.05.24	Universidad Central - Inter de Barinas	4:0 ✺
04.05.24	Inter de Barinas - Universidad Central	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLWT
- Deportivo Nueva Esparta
Venezuelan Segunda Division
16.06.24	Marítimo de La Guaira - Deportivo Nueva Esparta	0:0 ✺
09.06.24	Deportivo Nueva Esparta - Deportivo Miranda	0:3 ✺
Copa Venezuela
06.06.24	Deportivo Nueva Esparta - Academia Anzoátegui	0:1 ✺
Venezuelan Segunda Division
26.05.24	Dynamo Puerto - Deportivo Nueva Esparta	6:2 ✺
18.05.24	Deportivo Nueva Esparta - Academia Anzoátegui	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TLLLL

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