The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Universidad Central 29.6%
Draw 28.2%
Deportivo Táchira 42.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.7%
27.3%
41%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.2%
26%
43.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
Deportivo Táchira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Central than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Táchira than the current prediction. (+1%)
Universidad Central - Deportivo Táchira Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Morales L. (G) 2. Silva K. 5. Martinez L. (C) 4. Velasquez W. 24. Cumana Y. 30. Gonzalez A. 6. Sole F. 9. Murillo Y. 47. Granko A. 7. Cuesta J. 11. Bolivar J.
1. Araque A. (G) 13. Camacho P. (C) 4. Fratta G. 3. Lusnig L. 88. Alfonzo D. 25. Perez A. 14. Palmezano B. 2. Sanchez J. 10. Sosa C. 7. Penaranda A. 70. Ramirez H.
Substitutes
27. Carrillo D. 57. Cermeno C. 15. Davis R. 16. De Sousa D. 38. Hernandez S. 23. Hernandez Y. 14. Mendoza K. 21. Ortiz C. 19. Simarra A. 10. Sosa S. 8. Zapata J.
17. Balza J. 5. Fioravanti L. 11. Gonzalez L. 38. Lozano G. 31. Mendez C. 22. Oliveros A. 45. Provenzano F. 44. Tamiche E. 30. Vargas E. (G) 8. Villalpando J. 41. Wilches W. 27. Zuniga L.
Coaches
Sasso D.
Recoba A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Penaranda A. ↓, Gonzalez L. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', Camacho P. 🟨,
49', 1 - 0, Bolivar J. ⚽, Cuesta J. (A),
52', Martinez L. ↓, Simarra A. ↑,
57', Gonzalez A. 🟨,
62', Gonzalez A. ↓, Mendoza K. ↑,
62', Bolivar J. ↓, Sosa S. ↑,
62', Granko A. ↓, Zapata J. ↑,
62', Camacho P. ↓, Provenzano F. ↑,
63', Ramirez H. ↓, Zuniga L. ↑,
63', Palmezano B. ↓, Balza J. ↑,
64', 1 - 1, Provenzano F. ⚽, Alfonzo D. (A),
68', Provenzano F. 🟨,
69', Mendoza K. 🟨,
78', Cuesta J. ↓, De Sousa D. ↑,
81', Alfonzo D. ↓, Fioravanti L. ↑,
90+4', Velasquez W. 🟨,
90+5', Zapata J. 🟨,
90+8', Murillo Y. 🟨,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).
Universidad Central is Qualified for Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Universidad Central won 2.
Recent performances by Universidad Central have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Deportivo Táchira is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Universidad Central may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Deportivo Táchira could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Universidad Central won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Universidad Central won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.5:0.8).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Dep. Tachira
11
7
2
2
24:14
10
23
8
Universidad Central
11
4
3
4
12:11
1
15
Last Results with these Odds
Universidad Central - the odds 2.95 are the expected chance of winning is 31.68%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
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Morales L. (G) 
Silva K. 
Gonzalez A. 
Cuesta J. 
Fratta G. 
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