The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Carabobo 69.1%
Draw 18.4%
Mineros de Guayana 12.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
68.5%
18.5%
13%
Our Initial ML Estimation
72.1%
17.6%
12.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carabobo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
Mineros de Guayana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carabobo than the current prediction. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mineros de Guayana than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Carabobo - Mineros de Guayana Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 1 - 0, Martinez L. ⚽,
90', 1 - 1, Penaranda A. ⚽,
Penalties (4 - 1)
1, (Penalty Awarded),
1, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carabobo won 4.
Carabobo is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Mineros has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Mineros may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Carabobo holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Carabobo has recorded 7 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 34:26 (averaging 1.7:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Carabobo against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with 18:9 goals (averaging 2:1 per game).
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