Match Info

Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 13

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega (Cusco) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Espinoza J. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Peru	18:00	Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play
Usa	19:00	Fanatiz
Vietnam	06:00	TV 360


	Deportivo Garcilaso		Los Chankas

	1	X	2
	1.57	4	5.25	Watch
	1.53	3.80	4.80
				Watch
	1.59	4.1	5.17
	1.6	3.97	5.1	Watch
	1.56	3.8	5.05
	1.58	3.85	5.36	Watch
	1.56	4	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.44)	3.93 ↓ (4.3)	5.1 ↓ (6.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Garcilaso
58.6%

Draw
23.4%

Los Chankas
18%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

64%

21.4%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67%

19.6%

13.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Garcilaso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Garcilaso's form might have worsened.

Los Chankas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Garcilaso than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Garcilaso, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Chankas than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Deportivo Garcilaso - Los Chankas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Zubczuk P. (C) 23. Moreno X. 2. Salazar A. 19. Gomez A. 20. Rosell Delgado J. A. 8. Gonzalez A. 11. Arancibia F. 10. Sandoval K. 18. Ramos Rodriguez C. I. 30. Da Silva B. 9. Castelli F.	1. Camacho H. (G) 18. Takeuchi O. (C) 24. Rizzo G. 2. Gonzalez H. 33. Pimienta C. 16. Chavez A. 6. Ayarza A. 17. Velarde C. 5. Palomino J. 10. Torres F. 20. Torres M.
Substitutes
27. Ascues A. 31. Barbieri J. (G) 35. Mendoza J. 24. Olivares C. 22. Portales J. 17. Ramirez S. 7. Rios L. 14. Torrejon C. 33. Villacorta S.	27. Barrios K. 4. Campos A. 77. Espinoza Vega F. E. 26. Gonzales D. 30. Kaufman M. 7. Ospina J. 12. Pretel L. (G) 11. Quintero J. 15. Sanchez K.
Coaches
Greppo L.	Bazalar J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', Moreno X. ↓, Mendoza J. ↑,
18', Rizzo G. 🟨,
20', 1 - 0, Castelli F. ⚽, Gonzalez A. (A),
23', Arancibia F. ↓, Olivares C. ↑,
34', Ramos Rodriguez C. I. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Sandoval K. ↓, Torrejon C. ↑,
46', Ayarza A. ↓, Quintero J. ↑,
51', Takeuchi O. 🟨,
54', 2 - 0, Olivares C. ⚽, Rosell Delgado J. A. (A),
54', Gonzalez H. 🟨,
62', Greppo L. 🟨,
66', Palomino J. ↓, Sanchez K. ↑,
66', Rizzo G. ↓, Campos A. ↑,
66', Takeuchi O. ↓, Kaufman M. ↑,
67', 3 - 0, Olivares C. ⚽, Castelli F. (A),
73', 4 - 0, Gonzalez A. ⚽, Da Silva B. (A),
74', Chavez A. ↓, Gonzales D. ↑,
75', Da Silva B. ↓, Rios L. ↑,
75', Castelli F. ↓, Ramirez S. ↑,
84', Rios L. 🟨,
88', Sanchez K. 🟨,
90+2', 4 - 1, Quintero J. ⚽, Velarde C. (A),

Preview

An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 5th and 13th).

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Bookmakers give the edge to Deportivo Garcilaso for this game.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Garcilaso has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 7:4 (averaging 1.4:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Deportivo Garcilaso against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 4:1 goals (averaging 2:0.5 per game).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Deportivo Garcilaso	14	8	1	5	26:15	11	25
14	Los Chankas	13	3	3	7	14:29	-15	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Garcilaso
Peruvian Liga 1
17.10.26	FBC Melgar - Deportivo Garcilaso	4:2 ✺
09.10.26	Deportivo Garcilaso - Sport Huancayo	0:1 ✺
19.09.26	Deportivo Garcilaso - Universitario de Deportes	4:0 ✺
13.09.26	Sport Boys - Deportivo Garcilaso	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Deportivo Garcilaso - Atlético Grau	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLWLW
- CD Los Chankas
Peruvian Liga 1
16.10.26	Los Chankas - ADT Tarma	2:1 ✺
08.10.26	Atlético Grau - Los Chankas	0:0 ✺
30.09.26	Cienciano - Los Chankas	0:0 ✺
12.09.26	Los Chankas - Cajamarca	1:2 ✺
06.09.26	Sporting Cristal - Los Chankas	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
04.05.26	Los Chankas - Deportivo Garcilaso	0:1
18.07.25	Deportivo Garcilaso - Los Chankas	3:0
10.02.25	Los Chankas - Deportivo Garcilaso	2:2
29.09.24	Los Chankas - Deportivo Garcilaso	1:0
28.04.24	Deportivo Garcilaso - Los Chankas	1:1

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