The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Universidad San Martín 47.3%
Draw 25.1%
Ayacucho 27.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.3%
30.1%
39.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30%
29.8%
40%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad San Martín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Universidad San Martín's performance.
Ayacucho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ayacucho might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad San Martín than the current prediction. (-17.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Universidad San Martín that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayacucho than the current prediction. (+12.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ayacucho could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
100%
0%
Universidad San Martín - Ayacucho Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Cavagna A. (G) 8. Arroe J. 7. Bazan H. 36. Castillo P. 19. Chumpitaz I. 25. Delgado G. 10. Garcia R. 29. Ismodes D. 3. Roque G. 13. Rossi E. 30. Soto J.
12. Mayta Boza L. L. (G) 2. Aquino H. 25. Ataupillco J. 11. Barboza S. 24. de la Cruz A. 20. Huayhua C. 9. Peralta S. 10. Rios M. (C) 5. Simon C. 6. Tuesta J. 16. Vilchez J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Vilchez J. ⚽,
15', Bazan H. 🟨,
27', Peralta S. 🟨,
32', Castillo P. 🟨,
43', 1 - 1, Arroe J. ⚽,
43', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ismodes D. ↓, Reyes D. ↑,
66', Delgado G. ↓, Coronel J. ↑,
69', Huayhua C. ↓, Loayza G. ↑,
69', Rios M. ↓, Aivar F. ↑,
69', Barboza S. ↓, Rodriguez L. ↑,
72', Castillo P. ↓, Vergara H. ↑,
73', Vilchez J. 🟨,
73', 2 - 1, Vergara H. ⚽,
79', Vilchez J. ↓, Ruidiaz Y. ↑,
88', Garcia R. ↓, Melgar F. ↑,
88', Bazan H. ↓, Cano J. ↑,
90', de la Cruz A. ↓, Keziel Santos ↑,
Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Liga 2 (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Championship Group: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Universidad San Martín won 1.
Universidad San Martín is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Ayacucho is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Universidad San Martín could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Universidad San Martín will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Universidad San Martín won 4 matches, drawn 10 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 24-34.
Including matches at home between the teams Universidad San Martín won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16-10.
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Cavagna A. (G) 
