Match Info

PERU: Liga 2 - Relegation Group - Round 5

Date: 1 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Miguel Grau (Callao)


	Universidad San Martín		Escuela Municipal Binacional

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.3	4
	1.8	3.4	4
	1.77	3.47	4.29	Watch
	1.73	3.4	4.2
	1.78	3.4	4.17
	1.8	3.4	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (2.12)	3.4 ↑ (3.25)	4.11 ↑ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Universidad San Martín
51.2%

Draw
26.7%

Escuela Municipal Binacional
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

27.8%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

27.2%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad San Martín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Universidad San Martín's performance.

Escuela Municipal Binacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Escuela Municipal Binacional might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad San Martín than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Universidad San Martín that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Escuela Municipal Binacional than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Escuela Municipal Binacional could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Universidad San Martín - Escuela Municipal Binacional Predictions

Users Predictions: Universidad San Martín will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
43. Nicosia F. (G) 8. Arroe J. 6. Cortes S. 16. Cuba R. 29. Ismodes D. (C) 14. Pacheco M. 47. Pumpido F. 49. Reyes D. 12. Rossi E. 17. Salem J. 39. Vera F.	21. Azurin A. (G) 9. Bazan V. 11. Chavez D. 22. Chavez N. 17. Crespo H. 18. Gonzales J. 5. Lopez de Castilla J. 32. Mendoza G. 24. Moreno K. 26. Rodriguez R. 8. Tello Y. (C)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Arroe J. 🟨,
20', Mendoza G. 🟨,
21', Lopez de Castilla J. 🟨,
34', 🟨,
40', Nicosia F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Bazan V. ↓, Caicedo Carvajal K. F. ↑,
57', Lopez de Castilla J. ↓, Valverde L. ↑,
62', Rodriguez R. ↓, Iriarte M. ↑,
62', Crespo H. ↓, Palomino M. ↑,
64', Arroe J. ↓, Soto J. ↑,
64', Pumpido F. ↓, Matzuda M. ↑,
89', 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universidad San Martín
Peruvian Liga 2
26.08.24	Carlos Stein - Universidad San Martín	1:2 ✺
21.08.24	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Universidad San Martín	0:0 ✺
17.08.24	Universidad San Martín - Carlos Stein	1:0 ✺
12.08.24	Moquegua - Universidad San Martín	1:1 ✺
15.07.24	Universidad San Martín - Santos	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WTWTL
- Escuela Municipal Binacional
Peruvian Liga 2
26.08.24	Moquegua - Escuela Municipal Binacional	0:0 ✺
21.08.24	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Universidad San Martín	0:0 ✺
18.08.24	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Moquegua	2:1 ✺
12.08.24	Carlos Stein - Escuela Municipal Binacional	0:2 ✺
22.07.24	Santos - Escuela Municipal Binacional	Santos awarded ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TTWW?

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
21.08.24	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Universidad San Martín	0:0
07.06.24	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Universidad San Martín	3:0
09.04.24	Universidad San Martín - Escuela Municipal Binacional	0:0
Peruvian Liga 1
11.07.22	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Universidad San Martín	4:0
25.03.22	Universidad San Martín - Escuela Municipal Binacional	0:1
27.09.21	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Universidad San Martín	1:0
31.10.20	Universidad San Martín - Escuela Municipal Binacional	0:2

Upcoming Matches