Match Info

PERU: Liga 2 - Relegation Group - Round 4

Date: 26 August 2024, Monday

Location: Estadio 25 de Noviembre (Moquegua)


	Moquegua		Escuela Municipal Binacional

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	2.7
	2.13	3.09	3.08
	2.15	3.24	3.19	Watch
	2.13	3.22	3.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.38)	3.16 ↑ (3.15)	3.03 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moquegua
41.6%

Draw
28.6%

Escuela Municipal Binacional
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

28.8%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

30.1%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moquegua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Escuela Municipal Binacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moquegua than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Escuela Municipal Binacional than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Moquegua - Escuela Municipal Binacional Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Figueroa R. (G) 33. Alfageme A. 11. Centurion L. 90. Collazos J. 24. Correa M. 16. Davila A. 26. Flores C. 30. Granda J. (C) 13. Jimenez J. 23. Jimenez J. 25. Vasquez J.	21. Azurin A. (G) 9. Bazan V. 22. Chavez N. 18. Gonzales J. 25. Goyoneche P. 32. Mendoza G. 24. Moreno K. 16. Revilla J. 26. Rodriguez R. 8. Tello Y. (C) 3. Valverde L.
Substitutes
4. Cueva O. 22. Fano F. 17. Gastelu A. 7. Guerrero G. 28. Lovera P. 6. Ramirez R. 5. Ruiz Diaz T. 14. Tapia J. 1. Valladares G. (G)	28. Caicedo Carvajal K. F. 27. Chipana J. 17. Crespo H. 13. Iriarte M. 1. Loayza D. (G) 5. Lopez de Castilla J. 2. Pacheco O. 6. Palomino M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Chavez N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', 🟨,
65', Revilla J. ↓, Iriarte M. ↑,
71', Bazan V. ↓, Crespo H. ↑,
78', Collazos J. ↓, Guerrero G. ↑,
78', Correa M. ↓, Cueva O. ↑,
79', Tello Y. ↓, Palomino M. ↑,
90', Alfageme A. 🟨,

Preview

UCV is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Binacional is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches UCV won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-5.

Including matches at home between the teams UCV won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Moquegua
Peruvian Liga 2
22.08.24	Carlos Stein - Moquegua	0:4 ✺
18.08.24	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Moquegua	2:1 ✺
12.08.24	Moquegua - Universidad San Martín	1:1 ✺
21.07.24	Deportivo Coopsol - Moquegua	4:2 ✺
08.07.24	Moquegua - Cantolao	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WLTLL
- Escuela Municipal Binacional
Peruvian Liga 2
21.08.24	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Universidad San Martín	0:0 ✺
18.08.24	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Moquegua	2:1 ✺
12.08.24	Carlos Stein - Escuela Municipal Binacional	0:2 ✺
22.07.24	Santos - Escuela Municipal Binacional	Santos awarded ✺
09.07.24	Comerciantes Belén - Escuela Municipal Binacional	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TWW?L

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
18.08.24	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Moquegua	2:1
30.06.24	Moquegua - Escuela Municipal Binacional	0:1
05.05.24	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Moquegua	2:0

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