Match Info

Liga 2 - Round 13

Date: 28 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Miguel Grau (Callao)


	Universidad San Martín		Santos

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	2.9
	2.06	3.4	2.93
				Watch
	2.16	3.29	3.19
	2.4	3.25	2.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.4)	3.26 ↑ (3.25)	2.9 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universidad San Martín
41%

Draw
27.8%

Santos
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

27.7%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

27.4%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad San Martín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad San Martín than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Universidad San Martín - Santos Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Santos (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
	17. Cordova M. (G)
	24. Andia R.
	23. Barco J.
	5. Bernaola B.
	27. Cuneo O.
	9. Curiel M.
	10. Deza J.
	8. Munoz J.
	25. Toledo P.
	6. Velasco S.
	11. Villanueva C.
Substitutes
	2. Canova J.
	18. Condena A.
	4. Estacio M.
	32. Farias J.
	28. Garcia C.
	7. Isita J.
	33. Madrid Y.
	1. Roman C. (G)
	20. Vela A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Arteaga A. ⚽,
20', Chumpitaz I. 🟨,
26', 2 - 0, Arteaga A. ⚽,
29', Toledo P. 🟨,
39', Velasco S. 🟨,
43', Vera F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Vera F. ↓, Reyes D. ↑,
46', Minaya D. ↓, Cuba R. ↑,
50', Cornejo S. 🟨,
50', Huacachin D. 🟨,
64', Velasco S. ↓, Condena A. ↑,
64', Barco J. ↓, Farias J. ↑,
68', Arteaga A. ↓, Vega C. ↑,
68', Sanchez J. ↓, Caicedo J. ↑,
73', Matzuda M. ↓, Falconi J. ↑,
81', Andia R. ↓, Isita J. ↑,
84', Bernaola B. 🟨,
88', Bernaola B. 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 6 in the zone Liga 2 (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Promotion Group: )).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Uni San Martín has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Uni San Martín won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 2:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Uni San Martín won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universidad San Martín
Peruvian Liga 2
22.06.25	Universidad San Martín - Moquegua	1:2 ✺
14.06.25	Bentín Tacna Heroica - Universidad San Martín	2:0 ✺
08.06.25	Universidad San Martín - Comerciantes Belén	0:3 ✺
25.05.25	Universidad San Martín - Cantolao	1:0 ✺
18.05.25	Universidad San Martín - Deportivo Coopsol	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLLWW
- Santos de Nasca
Peruvian Liga 2
22.06.25	Bentín Tacna Heroica - Santos	4:0 ✺
14.06.25	Santos - Unión Comercio	2:1 ✺
07.06.25	Deportivo Coopsol - Santos	0:2 ✺
31.05.25	Santos - Moquegua	1:1 ✺
25.05.25	Comerciantes Belén - Santos	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
10.05.25	Santos - Universidad San Martín	2:3
15.07.24	Universidad San Martín - Santos	2:3
27.05.24	Santos - Universidad San Martín	2:2
13.06.23	Santos - Universidad San Martín	2:1

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