Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 1

Date: 2 April 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos (Santiago de Chile)

Referee: Ostojich E. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	StarTimes App
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Paramount+, Sky+, TV Globo, Zapping
Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	ESPN Premium
Colombia	ESPN 5
Indonesia	Mola TV
Israel	Sport 4
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
Poland	Polsat Sport 2
Portugal	Sport TV1
South-america	ESPN 5 South
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	Inter
World	Disney+


	Universidad de Chile		Botafogo RJ

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.2	2.55	Watch
	2.85	3.3	2.37
	2.85	3.2	2.5	Watch
	2.9	3.18	2.56	Watch
	2.8	3.2	2.4	Watch
	3.01	3.19	2.46	Watch
	2.85	3.2	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.59)	3.21 ↑ (3.13)	2.48 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

Watch this match and Copa Libertadores with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS 3

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Current Win Probability

Universidad de Chile
32.7%

Draw
29.3%

Botafogo RJ
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

29.7%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

29.3%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad de Chile has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Botafogo RJ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad de Chile than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	33.3%	50%

Universidad de Chile - Botafogo RJ Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Universidad de Chile will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Botafogo will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Castellon G. (G) 17. Hormazabal F. 2. Calderon F. 22. Zaldivia M. 5. Ramirez N. 19. Altamirano J. 21. Diaz M. (C) 20. Aranguiz C. 16. Sepulveda M. 18. Di Yorio L. 9. Fernandez L.	12. John Victor (G) 2. Vitinho 32. Jair Cunha 20. Barboza A. 13. Alex Telles 26. Gregore 23. Rodriguez S. 6. Patrick de Paula 17. Marlon Freitas 11. Matheus Martins 99. Igor Jesus
Substitutes
10. Assadi L. 4. Castro J. 27. Contreras R. 24. Diaz A. 6. Fernandez N. 26. Formiliano F. 11. Guerra N. 30. Montes G. 8. Poblete Zuniga I. E. 31. Tamayo B. 3. Tapia I. 1. Toselli C. (G)	25. Allan 7. Artur 57. David Ricardo 33. Elias Manoel 47. Jeffinho 77. Kauan Lindes 18. Kaue 28. Newton 4. Ponte M. 1. Raul Steffens (G) 9. Rwan Seco 63. Serafim
Coaches
Alvarez G.	Alves R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Patrick de Paula 🟨,
26', Fernandez L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Fernandez L. ↓, Guerra N. ↑,
46', Altamirano J. ↓, Poblete Zuniga I. E. ↑,
47', Gregore 🟨,
59', 1 - 0, Di Yorio L. ⚽, Guerra N. (A),
61', Patrick de Paula ↓, Elias Manoel ↑,
61', Matheus Martins ↓, Artur ↑,
70', Rodriguez S. ↓, Jeffinho ↑,
74', Diaz M. ↓, Montes G. ↑,
75', Sepulveda M. 🟨,
81', Marlon Freitas ↓, Allan ↑,
82', Di Yorio L. ↓, Contreras R. ↑,
90+1', Sepulveda M. ↓, Castro J. ↑,
90+1', Jeffinho 🟨,
90+3', Aranguiz C. 🟨,
90+5', Guerra N. 🟨,
90+5', Igor Jesus 🟨,
90+6', Igor Jesus 🟨,

Preview

Recent matches Universidad de Chile is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Botafogo is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Universidad de Chile could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universidad de Chile
Chilean Primera Division
27.03.25	Everton de Viña - Universidad de Chile	2:0 ✺
Chilean Cup
22.03.25	Universidad de Chile - Santiago Morning	3:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
14.03.25	Audax Italiano - Universidad de Chile	1:1 ✺
02.03.25	Cobresal - Universidad de Chile	2:1 ✺
23.02.25	Universidad de Chile - Unión La Calera	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWTLW
- Botafogo RJ
Brazilian Serie A
30.03.25	Palmeiras - Botafogo RJ	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
22.03.25	Botafogo RJ - Grêmio Novorizontino	3:1 ✺
Recopa Sudamericana
27.02.25	Botafogo RJ - Racing	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
23.02.25	Vasco da Gama - Botafogo RJ	1:0 ✺
Recopa Sudamericana
20.02.25	Racing - Botafogo RJ	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TWLLL

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