Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 4

Date: 6 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos (Rio de Janeiro)

Referee: Roldan W. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Bolivia	ESPN 3
Brazil	Paramount+
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol, fubo Sports Network
Chile	Disney+, ESPN 3
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 3
Ecuador	ESPN 3
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Israel	Sport 4
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Paraguay	ESPN 3
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 3
Poland	Polsat Sport 1
Portugal	Sport TV1
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 3, Inter


	Botafogo RJ		Racing

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.3	3.2	Watch
	2.15	3.4	3.2
	2.22	3.25	3.05	Watch
	2.33	3.35	3.13
	2.27	3.36	3.13	Watch
	2.25	3.1	3.1	Watch
	2.25	3.2	3.16	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.2)	3.28 ↑ (3.23)	3.14 ↓ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botafogo RJ
41.7%

Draw
28.5%

Racing
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

28.8%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

27.4%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Racing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	42.9%	14.3%

Botafogo RJ - Racing Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Botafogo will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Racing will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Neto (G) 2. Vitinho 5. Ferraresi N. 20. Barboza A. 13. Alex Telles (C) 6. Medina C. 8. Danilo 7. Junior Santos 28. Newton 11. Matheus Martins 37. Barria K.	25. Cambeses F. (G) 15. Martirena Torres G. N. 3. Di Cesare M. 13. Sosa S. (C) 2. Garcia A. 27. Rojas G. 20. Rodriguez B. 8. Forneris A. 24. Fernandez A. 28. Solari S. 9. Adrian Martinez
Substitutes
19. Arthur Cabral 14. Barrera J. 15. Bastos 30. Correa J. 88. Edenilson 75. Huguinho 21. Marcal 10. Montoro A. 4. Ponte M. 9. Ramos C. 1. Raul Steffens (G) 77. Villalba Jaume L. M.	23. Colombo N. 17. Conechny T. 10. Miljevic M. 18. Pardo F. 58. Perez T. 6. Rojo M. 34. Rubio T. 44. Sosa G. 30. Tagliamonte M. (G) 7. Vergara D. 11. Zaracho M. 36. Zuculini B.
Coaches
Carvalho F.	Costas G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', Fernandez A. 🟨,
19', 1 - 0, Di Cesare M. (Own goal),
26', Barria K. 🟨,
30', Rodriguez B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 1 - 1, Adrian Martinez ⚽,
59', Rodriguez B. ↓, Zaracho M. ↑,
60', Solari S. ↓, Conechny T. ↑,
61', Barria K. ↓, Arthur Cabral ↑,
65', Forneris A. ↓, Zuculini B. ↑,
74', 2 - 1, Danilo ⚽, Matheus Martins (A),
76', Matheus Martins ↓, Edenilson ↑,
77', Junior Santos ↓, Villalba Jaume L. M. ↑,
79', Di Cesare M. 🟨,
79', Fernandez A. ↓, Miljevic M. ↑,
80', Garcia A. ↓, Perez T. ↑,
87', Villalba Jaume L. M. 🟨,
90', Edenilson 🟨,
90+2', Alex Telles ↓, Marcal ↑,
90+3', Cambeses F. 🟥,
90+5', Sosa S. ↓, Tagliamonte M. ↑,

Preview

Botafogo is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Racing has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Racing may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Botafogo has had a series of home games.

Botafogo will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).

Including home match between the teams, Botafogo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Botafogo RJ - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 42.31%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo RJ
Brazilian Serie A
02.05.26	Botafogo RJ - Remo	1:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
28.04.26	Botafogo RJ - Independiente Petroleros	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
25.04.26	Botafogo RJ - Internacional RS	2:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
21.04.26	Botafogo RJ - Chapecoense	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
18.04.26	Chapecoense - Botafogo RJ	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWTWW
- Racing Club de Avellaneda
Argentinian Liga Profesional
03.05.26	Racing - Huracán Buenos Aires	0:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
29.04.26	Caracas - Racing	1:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
24.04.26	Racing - Barracas Central	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Aldosivi - Racing	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
15.04.26	Racing - Botafogo RJ	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
15.04.26	Racing - Botafogo RJ	2:3
Recopa Sudamericana
27.02.25	Botafogo RJ - Racing	0:2
20.02.25	Racing - Botafogo RJ	2:0

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