Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 7

Date: 18 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Allianz Parque (Sao Paulo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App
Austria	DAZN
Brazil	Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Israel	Sport 1
Mexico	Azteca Deportes
Portugal	Canal 11
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 2, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 2
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player


	Palmeiras		Botafogo RJ

	1	X	2
	1.51	4	6.25	Watch
	1.57	4.1	5.5
	1.55	3.95	5.9
	1.56	4.17	6.74
	1.49	4.37	6.72	Watch
	1.5	3.8	6
	1.57	4.09	6.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.5)	4.07 ↓ (4.47)	6.26 ↑ (6.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Palmeiras
61.6%

Draw
23.3%

Botafogo RJ
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.3%

21.2%

15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.3%

20.2%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palmeiras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Botafogo RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.4%	11.8%	5.9%

Palmeiras - Botafogo RJ Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Palmeiras (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Botafogo (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Palmeiras will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Palmeiras (votes: 1 - 50%). Botafogo (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Carlos Miguel (G) 4. Giay A. 15. Gomez G. (C) 26. Murilo 56. Arthur Gabriel 8. Andreas Pereira 17. Marlon Freitas 40. Allan Elias 18. Mauricio 11. Arias J. 42. Lopez J.	1. Raul Steffens (G) 2. Vitinho 15. Bastos 5. Ferraresi N. 13. Alex Telles (C) 8. Danilo 6. Medina C. 14. Barrera J. 10. Montoro A. 11. Matheus Martins 17. Junior Santos
Substitutes
3. Bruno Fuchs 7. Felipe Anderson 6. Jefte 12. Khellven 48. Larson 30. Lucas Evangelista 31. Luighi 14. Marcelo Lomba (G) 32. Martinez E. 22. Piquerez J. 19. Sosa R. 9. Vitor Roque	19. Arthur Cabral 48. Arthur Novaes 7. Artur 30. Correa J. 88. Edenilson 34. Justino G. 24. Leo Linck (G) 21. Marcal 16. Nathan Fernandes 4. Ponte M. 23. Rodriguez S. 77. Villalba Jaume L. M.
Coaches
Abel Ferreira	Anselmi M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Allan Elias ⚽, Andreas Pereira (A),
45', Medina C. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Junior Santos ↓, Rodriguez S. ↑,
53', 2 - 0, Arias J. ⚽, Andreas Pereira (A),
57', Barrera J. ↓, Villalba Jaume L. M. ↑,
59', 2 - 1, Danilo ⚽,
70', Ferraresi N. ↓, Justino G. ↑,
71', Bastos ↓, Artur ↑,
71', Mauricio ↓, Sosa R. ↑,
72', Lopez J. ↓, Vitor Roque ↑,
72', Andreas Pereira ↓, Lucas Evangelista ↑,
80', Matheus Martins ↓, Correa J. ↑,
85', Allan Elias ↓, Felipe Anderson ↑,
85', Arias J. ↓, Larson ↑,
88', Sosa R. 🟨,
89', Correa J. 🟨,
90+6', Villalba Jaume L. M. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 2.

Palmeiras is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Botafogo has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Palmeiras may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Botafogo has had a series of home games.

In this match, Palmeiras is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Palmeiras: Figueiredo (Injury) Murilo (Inactive) Paulinho (Leg Injury) Vitor Roque (Inactive)

There will not play in Botafogo: Allan (Yellow Cards) Barboza A. (Red Card) Kaio Pantaleao (Inactive) Marcal (Knee Injury) Ramos C. (Knock) Rodriguez S. (Injury)

We predict that Palmeiras will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 29:18. (average 1.5:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Palmeiras won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:7. (average 1.4:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Palmeiras	29	17	9	3	48:21	27	60
13	Botafogo RJ	29	9	8	12	42:47	-5	35

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Palmeiras
Brazilian Serie A
15.03.26	Palmeiras - Mirassol	1:0 ✺
12.03.26	Vasco da Gama - Palmeiras	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
08.03.26	Grêmio Novorizontino - Palmeiras	1:2 ✺
04.03.26	Palmeiras - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Palmeiras - São Paulo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLWWW
- Botafogo RJ
Brazilian Serie A
14.03.26	Botafogo RJ - Flamengo	0:3 ✺
Copa Libertadores
10.03.26	Botafogo RJ - Barcelona Guayaquil	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
07.03.26	Botafogo RJ - Bangu	3:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
03.03.26	Barcelona Guayaquil - Botafogo RJ	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
28.02.26	Botafogo RJ - Boavista	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
17.08.25	Botafogo RJ - Palmeiras	0:1
FIFA Club World Cup
28.06.25	Palmeiras - Botafogo RJ	1:0 ET
Brazilian Serie A
30.03.25	Palmeiras - Botafogo RJ	0:0
26.11.24	Palmeiras - Botafogo RJ	1:3
Copa Libertadores
21.08.24	Palmeiras - Botafogo RJ	2:2
14.08.24	Botafogo RJ - Palmeiras	2:1
Brazilian Serie A
17.07.24	Botafogo RJ - Palmeiras	1:0

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