Match Info

CHILE: Copa Chile - Round 4

Date: 22 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos (Santiago de Chile)


	Universidad de Chile		Santiago Morning

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.2	7.5	Watch
	1.47	4	5.25
	1.41	4.6	6.6	Watch
	1.46	4.38	6.48	Watch
	1.4	4.33	7
	1.36	4.5	7.06
	1.41	4.6	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.2)	4.37 ↓ (6)	6.64 ↓ (12)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universidad de Chile
65.1%

Draw
21.1%

Santiago Morning
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

76.9%

15.4%

7.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad de Chile has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Universidad de Chile's form might have worsened.

Santiago Morning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Santiago Morning's recent form is better than expected.

Universidad de Chile - Santiago Morning Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Toselli C. (G) 10. Assadi L. 27. Contreras R. 24. Diaz A. 9. Fernandez L. 26. Formiliano F. 30. Montes G. 8. Poblete Zuniga I. E. 16. Sepulveda M. 3. Tapia I. 22. Zaldivia M. (C)	1. Arana A. (G) 17. Castro P. 9. Cid W. 27. Coronado M. 15. Cortes F. 3. Guajardo Barrera B. 4. Iturra M. 20. Ormeno E. 22. Rigazzi L. 34. Rojas N. 14. Vasquez K. (C)
Substitutes
19. Altamirano J. 28. Arce A. 4. Castro J. 21. Diaz M. 18. Di Yorio L. 12. Garrido P. (G) 11. Guerra N. 5. Ramirez N. 23. Vasquez Gonzalez I. A.	6. Asprea T. 10. Campillay K. 5. Gatica M. 21. Manriquez Hernandez F. 8. Salazar S. 18. Taiva B. 26. Villegas M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Iturra M. 🟨,
16', Rojas N. 🟨,
37', Montes G. 🟨,
45+6', 1 - 0, Fernandez L. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Castro P. ↓, Asprea T. ↑,
46', Cid W. ↓, Taiva B. ↑,
46', Rojas N. ↓, Salazar S. ↑,
46', Montes G. ↓, Diaz M. ↑,
46', Coronado M. ↓, Campillay K. ↑,
50', Tapia I. 🟨,
53', 2 - 0, Contreras R. ⚽, Diaz A. (A),
57', Tapia I. ↓, Castro J. ↑,
63', Assadi L. ↓, Altamirano J. ↑,
63', Diaz A. ↓, Arce A. ↑,
64', Iturra M. ↓, Manriquez Hernandez F. ↑,
69', 3 - 0, Fernandez L. ⚽, Altamirano J. (A),
74', Formiliano F. ↓, Ramirez N. ↑,
89', Altamirano J. 🟨,

Preview

Universidad de Chile is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Santiago Morning is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Universidad de Chile could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Universidad de Chile is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Universidad de Chile won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universidad de Chile
Chilean Primera Division
14.03.25	Audax Italiano - Universidad de Chile	1:1 ✺
02.03.25	Cobresal - Universidad de Chile	2:1 ✺
23.02.25	Universidad de Chile - Unión La Calera	1:0 ✺
15.02.25	Universidad de Chile - Ñublense	5:0 ✺
Chilean Cup
10.02.25	Santiago Morning - Universidad de Chile	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TLWWW
- Santiago Morning
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
17.03.25	Deportes Recoleta - Santiago Morning	1:0 ✺
09.03.25	Santiago Morning - Curicó Unido	0:0 ✺
Chilean Cup
04.03.25	Santiago Morning - Deportes Recoleta	1:0 ✺
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
28.02.25	Santiago Morning - Deportes Temuco	2:1 ✺
22.02.25	Deportes Copiapó - Santiago Morning	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Cup
10.02.25	Santiago Morning - Universidad de Chile	1:3

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