The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Santiago Morning 37.4%
Draw 30.9%
Deportes Recoleta 31.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.2%
28.5%
30.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.9%
27.4%
29.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santiago Morning has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
Deportes Recoleta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santiago Morning than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santiago Morning, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Recoleta than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
20%
20%
Santiago Morning - Deportes Recoleta Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Santiago Morning will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Recoleta will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DNB - Recoleta (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Recoleta (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Canete L. (G) 14. Vasquez K. 16. Ceron D. 23. Delgado M. 25. Estay D. 4. Iturra M. 6. Asprea T. 21. Manriquez Hernandez F. (C) 7. Arancibia M. 10. Campillay K. 27. Coronado M.
22. Vargas J. (G) 2. Retamal V. 3. Alarcon F. 11. Viveros D. 14. Lara I. 8. Martin F. (C) 17. Carvajal N. 19. Salinas Aguilar O. 9. Estigarribia G. 20. Flores J. 37. Valdes B.
Substitutes
28. Alvarez D. 1. Arana A. (G) 32. Carreno E. 17. Castro P. 15. Cortes F. 5. Gatica M. 20. Ormeno E.
12. Alvarado F. 18. Cepeda C. 28. Fuenzalida I. 1. Kirkman E. (G) 21. Marin C. 23. Navarro C. 16. Salazar D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Coronado M. 🟨,
27', Asprea T. 🟨,
31', Viveros D. 🟨,
33', Asprea T. 🟨,
38', Valdes B. 🟨,
38', Alarcon F. ↓, Cepeda C. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Arancibia M. ↓, Castro P. ↑,
46', Coronado M. ↓, Cortes F. ↑,
48', Valdes B. 🟨,
66', Estay D. 🟨,
67', Alvarado F. 🟨,
74', Flores J. 🟨,
74', Lara I. ↓, Alvarado F. ↑,
77', Vasquez K. ↓, Ormeno E. ↑,
80', Cortes F. 🟨,
81', Carvajal N. ↓, Fuenzalida I. ↑,
82', Salinas Aguilar O. ↓, Marin C. ↑,
88', 0 - 1, Estigarribia G. (Pen),
90', Estay D. ↓, Carreno E. ↑,
90+1', 0 - 2, Estigarribia G. ⚽,
90+5', Marin C. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santiago Morning won 1.
Santiago Morning is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Recoleta has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Recently, Santiago Morning has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Santiago Morning won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 0.8:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Santiago Morning won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).
Last Results with these Odds
Deportes Recoleta - the odds 3.03 are the expected chance of winning is 30.35%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
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Canete L. (G) 
Asprea T. 
Arana A. (G) 
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