The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportes Recoleta 43.3%
Draw 28.6%
Santiago Morning 28.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.4%
26.8%
26.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.6%
25.6%
25.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Recoleta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
Santiago Morning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Recoleta than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportes Recoleta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santiago Morning than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Deportes Recoleta - Santiago Morning Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Narr J. (G) 12. Alvarado F. 30. Arriagada G. 6. Espinoza G. 21. Marin C. 15. Raddatz S. 2. Retamal V. 16. Salazar D. 19. Salinas Aguilar O. 37. Valdes B. 11. Viveros D.
12. Canete L. (G) 30. Barrientos J. 32. Carreno E. 17. Castro P. 15. Cortes F. 23. Delgado M. 5. Gatica M. 4. Iturra M. 34. Rojas N. 8. Salazar S. 2. Santelices G.
Substitutes
10. Arguinarena M. 17. Carvajal N. 18. Cepeda C. 9. Estigarribia G. 29. Flores M. 24. Gonzalez C. 1. Kirkman E. (G) 4. Sapiain J. 31. Valenzuela I.
28. Alvarez D. 1. Arana A. (G) 10. Campillay K. 29. Faundez D. 19. Monje J. 18. Taiva B. 31. Violante P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Salazar S. 🟨,
35', Viveros D. 🟨,
42', Marin C. 🟨,
45+2', Delgado M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Espinoza G. 🟨,
62', Salazar D. ↓, Estigarribia G. ↑,
63', Raddatz S. ↓, Flores M. ↑,
65', Barrientos J. ↓, Campillay K. ↑,
65', Carreno E. ↓, Taiva B. ↑,
73', Rojas N. ↓, Monje J. ↑,
74', Marin C. 🟨,
77', Arriagada G. ↓, Cepeda C. ↑,
77', Salinas Aguilar O. ↓, Arguinarena M. ↑,
80', Valdes B. ↓, Gonzalez C. ↑,
90+2', Viveros D. 🟨,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Recoleta won 2.
Recent matches Recoleta is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Santiago Morning is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recoleta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Recoleta have a series of guest games.
Recoleta will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 10 head-to-head matches Recoleta won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:9 (average 1.1:0.9).
Including matches at home between the teams Recoleta won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:4 (average 1.2:0.8).