Match Info

CHILE: Liga de Ascenso - Round 3

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de La Pintana (Santiago de Chile)


	Santiago Morning		Curicó Unido

	1	X	2
	3.4	2.95	2
	3.25	3.05	2.25
	3.14	3.1	2.38
	3.46	2.97	2.27	Watch
	3.1	2.9	2.25
	3.51	2.9	2.28
	3.25	3.05	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↑ (2.58)	2.99 ↓ (3.23)	2.24 ↓ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santiago Morning
27.9%

Draw
30.9%

Curicó Unido
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

28.5%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santiago Morning has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Santiago Morning's form might have worsened.

Curicó Unido has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Curicó Unido's recent form is better than expected.

Santiago Morning - Curicó Unido Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Canete L. (G) 3. Guajardo Barrera B. 25. Estay D. 22. Rigazzi L. 14. Vasquez K. 17. Castro P. 21. Manriquez Hernandez F. 20. Ormeno E. 6. Asprea T. 9. Cid W. 27. Coronado M.	25. Munoz H. (G) 6. Oliver F. 17. Meneses C. (C) 15. Sanhueza H. 14. Gonzalez J. 4. Guisolfo B. 10. Rojas D. 8. Leiva Y. 7. Fernandez N. 29. Quinteros M. 28. Retamal M.
Substitutes
1. Arana A. (G) 7. Arancibia M. 10. Campillay K. 15. Cortes F. 4. Iturra M. 2. Santelices G.	23. Barrios N. 13. Bustamante C. 21. Ormazabal M. 18. Ortiz F. 11. Perez F. 35. Valdes F. 1. Vergara T. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Castro P. ↓, Campillay K. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Quinteros M. ↓, Bustamante C. ↑,
46', Retamal M. ↓, Barrios N. ↑,
68', Coronado M. 🟨,
69', Coronado M. ↓, Taiva B. ↑,
71', Gonzalez J. 🟨,
74', Leiva Y. ↓, Ortiz F. ↑,
86', Cid W. 🟨,
90', Gonzalez J. ↓, Ormazabal M. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Santiago Morning won 0.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Curicó Unido will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Santiago Morning won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 11:15 (average 1:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Santiago Morning won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:6 (average 1.4:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santiago Morning
Chilean Cup
04.03.25	Santiago Morning - Deportes Recoleta	1:0 ✺
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
28.02.25	Santiago Morning - Deportes Temuco	2:1 ✺
22.02.25	Deportes Copiapó - Santiago Morning	2:2 ✺
Chilean Cup
16.02.25	Deportes Magallanes - Santiago Morning	0:0 ✺
10.02.25	Santiago Morning - Universidad de Chile	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WWTTL
- Curicó Unido
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
02.03.25	Curicó Unido - Deportes Copiapó	1:1 ✺
24.02.25	San Marcos de Arica - Curicó Unido	1:2 ✺
Chilean Cup
08.02.25	Curicó Unido - Universidad de Concepción	0:1 ✺
02.02.25	Deportes Santa Cruz - Curicó Unido	0:2 ✺
26.01.25	Ñublense - Curicó Unido	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
13.10.24	Santiago Morning - Curicó Unido	0:1
26.05.24	Curicó Unido - Santiago Morning	2:1
18.03.17	Curicó Unido - Santiago Morning	1:0
28.08.16	Santiago Morning - Curicó Unido	0:0
22.02.16	Santiago Morning - Curicó Unido	2:3
13.09.15	Curicó Unido - Santiago Morning	2:2
26.04.15	Santiago Morning - Curicó Unido	4:1

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