Match Info

Liga de Primera - Round 5

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Ester Roa (Concepción)

Referee: Gilabert F. (Chi)


	Universidad de Concepción		Everton de Viña

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.85	3.8	Watch
	2.05	3.25	3.6
	2.08	3.05	3.7	Watch
	2.21	3.13	3.83
	2.15	3.17	3.53	Watch
	2.1	3	3.25
	2.28	2.99	3.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.17)	3.06 ↓ (3.44)	3.63 ↑ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universidad de Concepción
43.7%

Draw
30.5%

Everton de Viña
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

27.1%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

26.5%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad de Concepción has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Everton de Viña has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad de Concepción than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Everton de Viña than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Universidad de Concepción - Everton de Viña Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Silva S. (G) 2. Paez E. 4. Gonzalez O. (C) 3. Gonzalez L. 15. Oyanedel Hernandez Y. A. 22. Uribe A. 8. Mater F. 19. Mesias C. 7. Urzi A. 10. Fuentealba J. 18. Waterman C.	1. Gonzalez I. (G) 37. Vidal V. 4. Magallanes H. 24. Oyarzun D. (C) 15. Fernandez V. 8. Villalpando D. 7. Moya J. 9. Alfaro J. 10. Medina A. 29. Martinez B. 30. Palacios C.
Substitutes
9. Barrea D. 11. Diaz A. 21. Espejo J. 34. Herrera F. 16. Ogaz B. 32. Saez B. 25. Salgado H. 13. Sanhueza J. (G) 27. Zambrano C.	14. Baeza N. 17. Barrera C. 13. Carcamo M. 5. Gonzalez R. 25. Kirkman E. (G) 28. Leon A. 11. Ramos Aviles E. M. 35. Soto L. 19. Vega V.
Coaches
Real J.	Torrente J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, Medina A. ⚽,
16', 0 - 2, Medina A. ⚽, Fernandez V. (A),
18', Mesias C. 🟨,
29', Oyarzun D. 🟨,
37', Fuentealba J. 🟨,
41', Alfaro J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Martinez B. ↓, Ramos Aviles E. M. ↑,
46', Mesias C. ↓, Barrea D. ↑,
46', Alfaro J. ↓, Soto L. ↑,
46', Uribe A. ↓, Zambrano C. ↑,
46', Urzi A. ↓, Salgado H. ↑,
59', 0 - 3, Soto L. ⚽, Medina A. (A),
65', Fuentealba J. ↓, Herrera F. ↑,
69', Palacios C. ↓, Baeza N. ↑,
73', Waterman C. 🟥,
74', Fernandez V. ↓, Carcamo M. ↑,
76', Salgado H. 🟨,
85', Moya J. ↓, Leon A. ↑,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso).

Uni de Concepción is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Everton is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Everton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Uni de Concepción is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Everton	23	10	6	7	37:25	12	36
15	U. De Concepcion	24	6	5	13	18:40	-22	23

Last Results with these Odds

Universidad de Concepción - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 43.03%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universidad de Concepción
Chilean Primera Division
22.02.26	Deportes La Serena - Universidad de Concepción	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Universidad de Concepción - Deportes Concepción	2:1 ✺
06.02.26	Audax Italiano - Universidad de Concepción	3:0 ✺
31.01.26	Universidad de Concepción - Coquimbo Unido	1:0 ✺
Serie Rio de la Plata
22.01.26	Montevideo Wanderers - Universidad de Concepción	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 TWLWW
- Everton de Viña
Chilean Primera Division
22.02.26	Audax Italiano - Everton de Viña	1:0 ✺
13.02.26	Everton de Viña - Huachipato	0:3 ✺
07.02.26	Colo-Colo - Everton de Viña	2:0 ✺
02.02.26	Everton de Viña - Unión La Calera	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
25.01.26	Sport Boys - Everton de Viña	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLLLW

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