The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportes La Serena 37.4%
Draw 28.7%
Universidad de Concepción 33.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.8%
29.6%
29.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes La Serena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
Universidad de Concepción has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
Deportes La Serena - Universidad de Concepción Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Lanzillotta F. (G) 21. Gutierrez B. 2. Zanini A. 5. Alarcon L. 26. Dinamarca F. 8. Escalante G. 6. Diaz S. 14. Chamorro F. 16. Gutierrez J. 10. Vargas J. (C) 11. Rubio D.
1. Silva S. (G) 2. Paez E. 4. Gonzalez O. (C) 3. Gonzalez L. 8. Mater F. 19. Mesias C. 15. Oyanedel Hernandez Y. A. 25. Salgado H. 10. Fuentealba J. 18. Waterman C. 7. Urzi A.
Substitutes
15. Contreras B. 33. Delgado R. 4. Mac Allister F. 23. Marin M. 28. Orellana J. 29. Pinto M. 22. Sanhueza Mora E. A. (G) 27. Sepulveda C. 34. Stefanelli N.
11. Diaz A. 34. Herrera F. 16. Ogaz B. 35. Ramirez M. 23. Romero P. 32. Saez B. 13. Sanhueza J. (G) 22. Uribe A. 27. Zambrano C.
Coaches
Gutierrez F.
Real J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
30', 1 - 0, Diaz S. ⚽,
39', 1 - 1, Paez E. ⚽, Urzi A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Diaz S. ↓, Mac Allister F. ↑,
59', Urzi A. ↓, Ogaz B. ↑,
65', Paez E. ↓, Saez B. ↑,
71', Rubio D. ↓, Marin M. ↑,
72', Mesias C. 🟨,
76', Salgado H. ↓, Diaz A. ↑,
76', Fuentealba J. ↓, Herrera F. ↑,
89', Gutierrez J. ↓, Pinto M. ↑,
90', Chamorro F. ↓, Stefanelli N. ↑,
90+1', Dinamarca F. 🟨,
90+4', Herrera F. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes La Serena won 3.
Uni de Concepción has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Uni de Concepción may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Deportes La Serena won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.1:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Deportes La Serena won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 0.8:0.6).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
10
La Serena
23
7
9
7
34:38
-4
30
15
U. De Concepcion
24
6
5
13
18:40
-22
23
Last Results with these Odds
Universidad de Concepción - the odds 3.1 are the expected chance of winning is 29.61%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.