Match Info

Serie Rio de la Plata

Date: 22 January 2026, Thursday

Location: Estádio Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera (Montevideo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, ESPN Premium
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
South-america	ESPN South
Uruguay	Antel TV, Disney+, VTV
Venezuela	Disney+


	Montevideo Wanderers		Universidad de Concepción

	1	X	2
	2.92	2.92	2.48
	1.63	3.74	4.98	Watch
	2.88	2.75	2.5
	2.82	2.86	2.45	Watch
	2.9	3.2	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.5)	3.09 ↓ (3.13)	2.97 ↑ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montevideo Wanderers
36.5%

Draw
31.1%

Universidad de Concepción
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

29.5%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montevideo Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Universidad de Concepción has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Montevideo Wanderers - Universidad de Concepción Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Buffa A. (G) 17. Garcia A. 13. Formiliano F. 23. Olivera Moreira L. N. 15. Mencia Hernandez D. J. 10. Cosentino L. 20. Oriol S. 16. Alberti J. 80. Urretaviscaya J. 9. Roque R. 11. Luna J.	1. Silva S. (G) 17. Gonzalez M. 4. Gonzalez O. 3. Gonzalez L. 22. Espejo J. 11. Diaz A. 19. Mesias C. 14. Parra P. 20. Rojas L. 10. Fuentealba J. 18. Waterman C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Roque R. ⚽,
13', Mencia Hernandez D. J. 🟨,
17', Luna J. 🟨,
18', 1 - 1, Fuentealba J. ⚽,
24', Oriol S. ↓, Queiroz N. ↑,
30', Mesias C. 🟨,
42', Cosentino L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Mesias C. ↓, Ogaz B. ↑,
60', Gonzalez L. ↓, Ubal B. ↑,
69', Fuentealba J. ↓, Herrera F. ↑,
69', Parra P. ↓, Salgado H. ↑,
69', Espejo J. ↓, Oyanedel Hernandez Y. A. ↑,
70', 1 - 2, Waterman C. ⚽,
86', 🟨,

Preview

Uni de Concepción may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Montevideo Wanderers - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 37%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montevideo Wanderers
Serie Rio de la Plata
16.01.26	Montevideo Wanderers - Independiente	0:2 ✺
Uruguayan Copa de la Liga AUF
11.01.26	Juventud de Las Piedras - Montevideo Wanderers	3:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
08.11.25	Montevideo Wanderers - River Plate Montevideo	0:4 ✺
31.10.25	Montevideo Wanderers - Boston River	2:2 ✺
26.10.25	Montevideo Wanderers - Nacional Montevideo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLLTT
- Universidad de Concepción
Serie Rio de la Plata
19.01.26	Racing Montevideo - Universidad de Concepción	Canceled ✺
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
01.11.25	Deportes Copiapó - Universidad de Concepción	0:3 ✺
24.10.25	Universidad de Concepción - Deportes Temuco	3:2 ✺
19.10.25	Deportes Antofagasta - Universidad de Concepción	3:0 ✺
12.10.25	Universidad de Concepción - Curicó Unido	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 ?WWLW

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