The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Universidad de Concepción 50%
Draw 26.4%
Deportes Santa Cruz 23.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.6%
28.4%
28.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.1%
27.4%
27.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad de Concepción has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Universidad de Concepción's performance.
Deportes Santa Cruz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportes Santa Cruz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad de Concepción than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Universidad de Concepción that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Santa Cruz than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
25%
0%
Universidad de Concepción - Deportes Santa Cruz Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Uni de Concepción will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Universidad de Concepción will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Sanhueza J. (G) 11. Gonzalez I. 4. Gonzalez O. (C) 28. Herrera I. 3. Meza I. 16. Ogaz B. 15. Oyanedel Hernandez Y. A. 30. Retamal D. 8. Romo J. 29. Sabando D. 18. Ubal B.
1. Carreno D. (G) 8. Carreno J. 5. Cavero H. 4. Contreras J. J. 40. Gonzalez D. (C) 21. Miranda B. 42. Moreno M. 20. Pardo C. 10. Recabal M. 13. Sandoval R. 14. Urzua D.
Substitutes
21. Benitez F. 17. Campestrini C. (G) 6. Cordero R. 10. Fuentealba J. 22. Lopez A. 14. Medina C. 20. Molina L. 7. Molina S. 19. Olivares Alvarez R. I.
18. Alvarez B. 17. Guzman D. 12. Henriquez M. (G) 27. Joaquin G. 3. Pino Villalon J. 2. Quiroz I. 15. Torres L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Miranda B. 🟨,
17', Meza I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Sabando D. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
46', Meza I. ↓, Fuentealba J. ↑,
63', Herrera I. ↓, Olivares Alvarez R. I. ↑,
70', Urzua D. 🟨,
72', Gonzalez I. ↓, Molina S. ↑,
72', Romo J. ↓, Medina C. ↑,
76', Moreno M. ↓, Alvarez B. ↑,
76', Recabal M. ↓, Guzman D. ↑,
86', Contreras J. J. ↓, Quiroz I. ↑,
86', Pardo C. ↓, Joaquin G. ↑,
88', Carreno J. ↓, Torres L. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni de Concepción won 3.
Uni de Concepción is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Deportes Santa Cruz has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Deportes Santa Cruz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Uni de Concepción might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Uni de Concepción won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.4:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Uni de Concepción won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 1.6:1).