Match Info

Liga de Ascenso - Round 6

Date: 13 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Carlos Dittborn (Arica)


	San Marcos de Arica		Universidad de Concepción

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.2	3.1
	1.89	3.35	3.95
	1.9	3.39	4.1	Watch
	2.1	3.1	3.25
	1.87	3.35	4.01	Watch
	1.89	3.35	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.1)	3.29 ↑ (3.28)	3.73 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Marcos de Arica
47.3%

Draw
28%

Universidad de Concepción
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

28.1%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

27.9%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Marcos de Arica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Universidad de Concepción has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Marcos de Arica than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad de Concepción than the current prediction. (+3%)

San Marcos de Arica - Universidad de Concepción Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. San Marcos de Arica (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Temperini N. (G) 3. Muller I. 8. Barrios A. 14. Guerra C. 19. Contreras A. 5. Rivera J. 10. Velazco F. 11. Rosales F. 20. Abalos A. 26. Rencoret C. 9. Melivilu Fuentes C.	17. Campestrini C. (G) 3. Meza I. 4. Gonzalez O. 14. Medina C. 15. Oyanedel Hernandez Y. A. 30. Retamal D. 6. Cordero R. 16. Ogaz B. 11. Gonzalez I. 19. Olivares Alvarez R. I. 22. Lopez A.
Substitutes
2. Ayala I. 4. Caceres C. 21. Camarda M. 7. Monroy B. 24. Pereira D. 22. Tapia B. (G)	24. Canessa O. 10. Fuentealba J. 28. Herrera I. 7. Molina S. 8. Romo J. 29. Sabando D. 13. Sanhueza J. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Rencoret C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Olivares Alvarez R. I. ↓, Romo J. ↑,
57', Rivera J. 🟨,
61', Rosales F. ↓, Camarda M. ↑,
65', Ogaz B. 🟨,
66', Velazco F. 🟨,
74', Gonzalez I. ↓, Molina S. ↑,
74', Ogaz B. ↓, Fuentealba J. ↑,
75', Abalos A. ↓, Monroy B. ↑,
79', Molina S. 🟨,
83', Rencoret C. 🟨,
87', Velazco F. ↓, Caceres C. ↑,
87', Melivilu Fuentes C. ↓, Plaza D. ↑,
87', Medina C. ↓, Herrera I. ↑,
87', Gonzalez O. 🟨,
88', Camarda M. 🟨,
89', 1 - 0, Plaza D. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches San Marcos de Arica won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Uni de Concepción could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

San Marcos de Arica will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches San Marcos de Arica won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 18:13 (average 1.8:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams San Marcos de Arica won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10:2 (average 2:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Marcos de Arica
Chilean Cup
06.04.25	Cobresal - San Marcos de Arica	3:0 ✺
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
31.03.25	Deportes Temuco - San Marcos de Arica	1:3 ✺
Chilean Cup
22.03.25	San Marcos de Arica - Deportes La Serena	1:0 ✺
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
16.03.25	San Marcos de Arica - Santiago Wanderers	1:2 ✺
07.03.25	Deportes Magallanes - San Marcos de Arica	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 LWWLW
- Universidad de Concepción
Chilean Cup
05.04.25	Ñublense - Universidad de Concepción	2:0 ✺
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
28.03.25	Universidad de Concepción - Deportes Santa Cruz	1:0 ✺
Chilean Cup
22.03.25	Universidad de Concepción - Curicó Unido	1:1 ✺
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
14.03.25	Universidad de Concepción - San Luis de Quillota	1:2 ✺
07.03.25	Cobreloa - Universidad de Concepción	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
20.07.24	San Marcos de Arica - Universidad de Concepción	1:1
03.03.24	Universidad de Concepción - San Marcos de Arica	1:3
04.09.23	Universidad de Concepción - San Marcos de Arica	2:1
03.05.23	San Marcos de Arica - Universidad de Concepción	5:0
31.10.21	San Marcos de Arica - Universidad de Concepción	0:0
03.08.21	Universidad de Concepción - San Marcos de Arica	3:1
Chilean Primera Division
22.02.16	Universidad de Concepción - San Marcos de Arica	2:1

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