Match Info

Copa Chile - Round 4

Date: 28 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Fiscal de Talca (Talca)


	Rangers de Talca		Ñublense

	1	X	2
	3.40	3.10	2.10
	3.10	3.10	2.10
	3.40	2.80	2.17
	3.53	3.20	2.12
	3.66	3.07	2.10	Watch
	3.45	3.05	2.08
	3.35	3.02	2.13
	3.15	3.10	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.38 ↑ (3.01)	3.06 ↓ (3.22)	2.12 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rangers de Talca
27%

Draw
29.9%

Ñublense
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

28.3%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

27.1%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rangers de Talca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Ñublense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rangers de Talca than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ñublense than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Rangers de Talca - Ñublense Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Rangers will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Ñublense will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Gamonal Ruiz J. L. (G) 34. Valenzuela R. 27. Servetti C. 14. Acuna S. 6. Cortes M. 8. Marquez A. (C) 24. Gomez T. 10. Rozas I. 11. Vicuna M. 31. Munoz C. 19. Gonzalez D.	1. Perez N. (G) 3. Salomon C. 4. Bosso Torres O. 15. Valencia S. 23. Gonzalez J. 35. Mansilla C. 28. Rivera M. 14. Campusano J. (C) 19. Tapia I. 20. Jeraldino I. 11. Molina Canto L.
Substitutes
17. Campestrini C. (G) 37. Castro M. 26. Herrera J. 7. Ibanez I. 21. Mora P. 4. Navarrete J. 22. Plaza D. 18. Rodriguez A. 38. Silva J.	6. Calderon P. 27. Guzman V. 25. Munoz H. (G) 7. Ovelar F. 10. Plaza M. 31. Poblete J. 13. Saavedra D. 16. Sanhueza D. 22. Valdes A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', Rozas I. 🟨,
45+2', 0 - 1, Molina Canto L. ⚽, Jeraldino I. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Munoz C. ↓, Ibanez I. ↑,
46', Gonzalez D. ↓, Herrera J. ↑,
46', Cortes M. ↓, Castro M. ↑,
46', Salomon C. ↓, Calderon P. ↑,
65', Molina Canto L. ↓, Plaza M. ↑,
65', Gonzalez J. ↓, Sanhueza D. ↑,
70', Gomez T. ↓, Plaza D. ↑,
72', Rivera M. 🟨,
80', Tapia I. ↓, Ovelar F. ↑,
83', Jeraldino I. ↓, Valdes A. ↑,
90+4', Marquez A. 🟨,
90+8', Calderon P. 🟨,

Preview

Rangers is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ñublense is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Rangers may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Rangers won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, Rangers won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Rangers de Talca - the odds 3.01 are the expected chance of winning is 30.32%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rangers de Talca
Chilean Cup
20.06.26	Rangers de Talca - Universidad de Concepción	2:1 ✺
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
06.06.26	Rangers de Talca - Deportes Santa Cruz	0:1 ✺
31.05.26	Cobreloa - Rangers de Talca	2:0 ✺
22.05.26	Rangers de Talca - Santiago Wanderers	0:2 ✺
16.05.26	Unión San Felipe - Rangers de Talca	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLLLL
- Deportivo Ñublense
Chilean Cup
25.06.26	Ñublense - Universidad de Concepción	4:2 ✺
21.06.26	Curicó Unido - Ñublense	1:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
13.06.26	Ñublense - Huachipato	2:2 ✺
Chilean Copa de la Liga
06.06.26	Ñublense - Universidad de Concepción	2:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
29.05.26	Cobresal - Ñublense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Cup
30.06.24	Ñublense - Rangers de Talca	4:0
26.06.24	Rangers de Talca - Ñublense	1:1

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