Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 2

Date: 20 April 2023, Thursday

Location: Estadio Monumental (Lima)

Referee: Vargas G. (Bol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	ESPN 4


	Universitario de Deportes		Goiás

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	3.8	Watch
	2.1	3.1	3.6
	2.08	3.25	3.65
	2.16	3.2	3.72
	2.1	3	3.4
	2.12	3.25	3.56	Watch
	2.15	3.05	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.2)	3.14 ↓ (3.22)	3.6 ↑ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universitario de Deportes
44.1%

Draw
29.9%

Goiás
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

28.9%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

27.6%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universitario de Deportes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Goiás has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitario de Deportes than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Goiás than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	60%	0%

Universitario de Deportes - Goiás Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Uni de Deportes will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Universitario de Deportes in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Goiás is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Universitario de Deportes will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universitario de Deportes
Peruvian Liga 1
16.04.23	Deportivo Municipal - Universitario de Deportes	1:2 ✺
09.04.23	Universitario de Deportes - Atlético Grau	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
05.04.23	Gimnasia La Plata - Universitario de Deportes	0:1 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
31.03.23	Deportivo Garcilaso - Universitario de Deportes	0:0 ✺
24.03.23	Universitario de Deportes - Cienciano	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.8 WWWTW
- Goiás EC
Brazilian Serie A
15.04.23	Athletico Paranaense - Goiás	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
09.04.23	Goiás - Atlético Goianiense	3:2 penalties ✺
Copa Sudamericana
04.04.23	Goiás - Independiente Santa Fe	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
02.04.23	Atlético Goianiense - Goiás	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Verde
29.03.23	Goiás - Cuiabá	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWTLW

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