The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Garcilaso 38.2%
Draw 29.8%
Universitario de Deportes 32%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
36.3%
29.4%
34.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.9%
28.9%
33.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Garcilaso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
Universitario de Deportes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Garcilaso than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitario de Deportes than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Deportivo Garcilaso - Universitario de Deportes Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Zubczuk P. (C) 55. Canales E. 2. Salazar A. 19. Gomez A. 23. Moreno X. 18. Ramos Rodriguez C. I. 8. Gonzalez A. 11. Arancibia F. 10. Sandoval K. 30. Da Silva B. 9. Castelli F.
1. Romero D. (G) 4. Santamaria A. 3. Riveros W. 2. Fara C. 23. Murrugarra J. 24. Polo A. (C) 17. Concha J. 39. Quispe Cordova P. A. 33. Inga C. 30. Alzugaray L. 20. Valera A.
Substitutes
27. Ascues A. 31. Barbieri J. (G) 35. Mendoza J. 24. Olivares C. 88. Pacheco F. 22. Portales J. 17. Ramirez S. 7. Rios L. 20. Rosell Delgado J. A.
29. Corzo A. 8. Fertoli H. 21. Guivin Tanta J. 70. Gutierrez J. 18. Lapadula G. 28. Quiroz A. 15. Requena J. 77. Reyna B. 25. Vargas M. (G)
Coaches
Greppo L.
Cuper H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Salazar A. ⚽, Sandoval K. (A),
10', 2 - 0, Sandoval K. ⚽,
18', Murrugarra J. 🟨,
19', 3 - 0, Gonzalez A. ⚽,
32', Quispe Cordova P. A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Quispe Cordova P. A. ↓, Quiroz A. ↑,
58', 4 - 0, Castelli F. ⚽, Arancibia F. (A),
60', Alzugaray L. ↓, Lapadula G. ↑,
66', Lapadula G. 🟨,
69', Concha J. ↓, Guivin Tanta J. ↑,
69', Inga C. ↓, Gutierrez J. ↑,
76', Castelli F. ↓, Pacheco F. ↑,
79', Valera A. ↓, Reyna B. ↑,
81', Arancibia F. ↓, Olivares C. ↑,
81', Da Silva B. ↓, Ascues A. ↑,
89', Ramos Rodriguez C. I. ↓, Rosell Delgado J. A. ↑,
90', Sandoval K. ↓, Rios L. ↑,
90+1', Salazar A. 🟨,
Preview
A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 2nd and 1st in the Promotion ~ Liga 1 Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Garcilaso won 0.
Deportivo Garcilaso is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Uni de Deportes is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Garcilaso has recorded 0 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:11 (averaging 0.7:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Deportivo Garcilaso against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 2:3 goals (averaging 0.7:1 per game).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
U. de Deportes
13
8
3
2
28:19
9
27
3
Deportivo Garcilaso
13
8
1
4
24:12
12
25
Last Results with these Odds
Universitario de Deportes - the odds 2.72 are the expected chance of winning is 34.27%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
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Zubczuk P. (C) 
Gomez A. 
Ramos Rodriguez C. I. 
Gonzalez A. 
Arancibia F. 
Riveros W. 
Gutierrez J. 
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