Match Info

PERU: LIGA 1 - APERTURA - ROUND 12

Date: 16 April 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Iván Elías Moreno (Lima)


	Deportivo Municipal		Universitario de Deportes

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.5	2	Watch
	3.25	3.2	1.98
	3.6	3.25	2.07
	3.58	3.31	2.08
	3.4	3.25	2
	3.62	3.5	2.02	Watch
	3.9	3	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.59 ↓ (4.1)	3.29 ↓ (3.5)	2.03 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Municipal
25.9%

Draw
28.3%

Universitario de Deportes
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.5%

26.3%

51.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.2%

26%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Municipal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Universitario de Deportes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Universitario de Deportes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Municipal than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitario de Deportes than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Universitario de Deportes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	16.7%	66.7%

Deportivo Municipal - Universitario de Deportes Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Municipal will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Uni de Deportes will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 10 and 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Municipal won 4.

Recent matches Municipal is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Universitario de Deportes in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Municipal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Universitario de Deportes will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Municipal won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 23-30.

Including matches at home between the teams Municipal won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 10-20.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Municipal
Peruvian Liga 1
08.04.23	Sport Boys - Deportivo Municipal	0:2 ✺
31.03.23	Deportivo Municipal - Sporting Cristal	1:1 ✺
26.03.23	Deportivo Municipal - Unión Comercio	2:0 ✺
12.03.23	Atlético Grau - Deportivo Municipal	1:1 ✺
06.03.23	Deportivo Municipal - Deportivo Garcilaso	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WTWTL
- Universitario de Deportes
Peruvian Liga 1
09.04.23	Universitario de Deportes - Atlético Grau	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
05.04.23	Gimnasia La Plata - Universitario de Deportes	0:1 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
31.03.23	Deportivo Garcilaso - Universitario de Deportes	0:0 ✺
24.03.23	Universitario de Deportes - Cienciano	3:0 ✺
18.03.23	Universitario de Deportes - ADT Tarma	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.5 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
30.07.22	Universitario de Deportes - Deportivo Municipal	0:1
05.03.22	Deportivo Municipal - Universitario de Deportes	2:1
19.09.21	Universitario de Deportes - Deportivo Municipal	0:2
30.09.20	Deportivo Municipal - Universitario de Deportes	0:5
03.11.19	Deportivo Municipal - Universitario de Deportes	3:0
19.05.19	Universitario de Deportes - Deportivo Municipal	2:4
06.11.18	Universitario de Deportes - Deportivo Municipal	1:2

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