Match Info

IRELAND: PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 21

Date: 23 June 2023, Friday

Location: UCD Bowl (Dublin)

Referee: Reale A. (Irl)


	University College Dublin		Sligo Rovers

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.2	1.4
	7	4.33	1.4
	8	4.35	1.37
	8.24	4.68	1.42
	8	4	1.38
	8.2	4.6	1.41	Watch
	7	4.4	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.56 ↑ (6.3)	4.37 ↑ (4.05)	1.4 ↓ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

University College Dublin
12.3%

Draw
21.3%

Sligo Rovers
66.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.8%

23.1%

62.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.8%

23.1%

62.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

University College Dublin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Sligo Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for University College Dublin than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sligo Rovers than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

University College Dublin - Sligo Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. UCD will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). Sligo Rovers will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sligo Rovers: 44.9% – 88.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Moore K. (G) 12. Babb D. 5. Wells A. 6. Keaney J. (C) 3. Osam E. 2. Gallagher M. 26. O'Regan L. 11. Nolan A. 7. Barr B. 25. Norris D. 29. Doyle J.	1. McNicholas L. (G) 2. Brannefalk J. 21. Mahon J. 28. Pijnaker N. 3. Lafferty D. 7. Fitzgerald W. 8. Morahan N. 22. Cawley D. (C) 19. Browning L. 27. Mata M. 18. Radosavljevic S.
Substitutes
35. Alonge M. 21. Bishop D. K. 33. Bolton C. 4. Bowden R. 19. Clarke S. 31. Donoghue K. 1. Healy L. (G) 24. O'Brien H. 14. O'Connor H.	34. Barlow K. 6. Bolger G. 30. Brush R. (G) 37. Campbell C. 47. Elding O. 10. Liivak F. 52. McElroy G.
Coaches
Myler A.	Russell J.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches UCD won 1.

UCD has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Sligo Rovers is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently UCD have a series of guest games.

In this match Sligo Rovers is indisputable favorite.

Last 18 head-to-head matches UCD won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 13-48.

Including matches at home between the teams UCD won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 5-19.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- University College Dublin
Irish Premier Division
09.06.23	Shamrock Rovers - University College Dublin	4:0 ✺
05.06.23	Dundalk - University College Dublin	4:1 ✺
02.06.23	University College Dublin - St Patricks Athletic	1:3 ✺
26.05.23	Drogheda United - University College Dublin	3:1 ✺
19.05.23	Derry City - University College Dublin	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Sligo Rovers
Irish Premier Division
09.06.23	Shelbourne - Sligo Rovers	1:1 ✺
05.06.23	Sligo Rovers - Shamrock Rovers	0:3 ✺
02.06.23	Bohemians Dublin - Sligo Rovers	2:0 ✺
27.05.23	Sligo Rovers - Derry City	1:0 ✺
19.05.23	Cork City - Sligo Rovers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Irish Premier Division
22.04.23	Sligo Rovers - University College Dublin	3:1
24.02.23	University College Dublin - Sligo Rovers	2:3
07.10.22	University College Dublin - Sligo Rovers	0:2
17.07.22	Sligo Rovers - University College Dublin	0:2
27.05.22	University College Dublin - Sligo Rovers	1:1
09.04.22	Sligo Rovers - University College Dublin	2:2
Irish FAI Cup
30.08.20	University College Dublin - Sligo Rovers	1:3

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