The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Dundalk 56.3%
Draw 24.3%
University College Dublin 19.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
59.4%
23.4%
17.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.1%
22.1%
18.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dundalk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
University College Dublin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dundalk than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for University College Dublin than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Dundalk - University College Dublin Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
18. Cherrie P. (G) 31. Wilson J. 15. Leonard V. 2. O'Keeffe C. 19. Spaight S. 23. Paraschiv A. 27. McDaid D. 6. Dervin A. 8. Groome H. 16. Kenny E. 11. Arubi G.
16. Kavanagh D. (G) 3. Wells A. 4. Clancy E. 6. Osagie D. 24. Verdon A. 11. McManus B. 7. McCullagh M. 39. Dignam L. 34. Brennan A. 29. Doyle J. 40. Smith H.
Substitutes
9. Ebbe D. 14. Garbett N. 7. Horgan D. 1. Minogue E. (G) 12. Mulligan L. 26. Tracey S. 22. Vaughan E. 29. Vaughan R. 17. Ward K.
12. Alonge M. 10. Behan C. 19. Bolton C. 17. Cailloce K. 28. Douglas N. (G) 8. Finn R. 5. Lennox C. 36. Mackey S. 9. Raggett M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Dignam L. ⚽,
30', Dervin A. 🟨,
37', Dignam L. 🟨,
38', 1 - 1, Arubi G. (Pen),
45', McCullagh M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Groome H. ↓, Horgan D. ↑,
63', Clancy E. 🟨,
64', 2 - 1, Arubi G. (Pen),
65', Smith H. ↓, Cailloce K. ↑,
65', McCullagh M. ↓, Behan C. ↑,
65', Dignam L. ↓, Finn R. ↑,
71', Spaight S. ↓, Tracey S. ↑,
71', McDaid D. ↓, Vaughan R. ↑,
72', 3 - 1, Kenny E. ⚽,
75', 3 - 2, Doyle J. ⚽,
85', Verdon A. ↓, Raggett M. ↑,
90+3', Kenny E. ↓, Mulligan L. ↑,
90+6', McManus B. 🟨,
90+6', Horgan D. 🟨,
Preview
UCD is Qualified for Division 1 (Play Offs )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dundalk won 4.
Recent performances by Dundalk have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
UCD is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
In this match, Dundalk is the team to beat.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dundalk won 16 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 51:14. (average 2.6:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Dundalk won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 29:7. (average 2.6:0.6).
Ireland
Watch
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Cherrie P. (G) 
Wilson J. 
Kenny E. 
Garbett N. 
Vaughan E. 
Vaughan R. 
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