Match Info

Premier Division - Round 23

Date: 3 July 2026, Friday

Location: Showgrounds (Sligo)

Referee: McLaughlin P. (Irl)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	LOI TV


	Sligo Rovers		Shamrock Rovers

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.80	1.55	Watch
	5.25	3.90	1.55
	5.30	3.80	1.58
	5.95	4.27	1.58
	5.47	4.24	1.58	Watch
	5.55	4.20	1.55
	5.25	4.10	1.58	Watch
	5.00	3.85	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.38 ↑ (5.37)	4.02 ↑ (3.75)	1.57 ↓ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sligo Rovers
17.3%

Draw
23.2%

Shamrock Rovers
59.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.4%

24.8%

57.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.6%

23.6%

60.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sligo Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Shamrock Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sligo Rovers than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shamrock Rovers than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Sligo Rovers - Shamrock Rovers Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Shamrock (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.84) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (1.79) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Shamrock (1.21) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Shamrock Rovers will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Shamrock Rovers will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Shamrock (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Sargeant S. (G) 33. Esua J. 52. McElroy G. 17. McHale S. 3. Stewart S. 71. Patton D. 16. McHugh C. 28. O'Kane R. 10. Meekison A. 7. Fitzgerald W. (C) 11. Kavanagh C.	1. McGinty E. (G) 2. Matthews A. 5. Grace L. (C) 3. Stevens E. 8. Healy M. 11. Mulraney J. 7. Watts D. 23. Malley C. 19. Brennan A. 9. Greene A. 88. McGovern J.
Substitutes
61. Cannon C. 15. Denham O. 1. Hughes L. (G) 23. McDonagh K. 14. McManus J. 19. Nolan A. 24. O'Donnell J. 63. Priosti G. 4. Quirk S.	15. Asamoah M. 10. Burke G. 29. Byrne J. 41. Noonan A. (G) 31. Noonan M. 17. O'Regan L. 27. O'Sullivan C. 26. O'Sullivan J. 28. Razi N.
Coaches
Russell J.	Bradley S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Fitzgerald W. ⚽, Meekison A. (A),
20', McHugh C. 🟨,
44', Stewart S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Greene A. ↓, Burke G. ↑,
46', Malley C. ↓, Byrne J. ↑,
46', McGovern J. ↓, Noonan M. ↑,
46', Stevens E. ↓, O'Sullivan C. ↑,
47', 1 - 1, Byrne J. ⚽,
52', Patton D. 🟥,
59', Watts D. ↓, Asamoah M. ↑,
68', Meekison A. ↓, Quirk S. ↑,
72', Asamoah M. 🟨,
78', Kavanagh C. ↓, O'Donnell J. ↑,
82', 1 - 2, Burke G. ⚽, Healy M. (A),
86', Quirk S. 🟨,
88', Esua J. ↓, McDonagh K. ↑,
90+2', Burke G. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sligo Rovers won 2.

Sligo Rovers is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Shamrock is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Shamrock may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Shamrock is the team to beat.

There will not play in Sligo Rovers: Blaney S. (Injury) Hakiki J. (Foot Injury) Harkin C. (Injury) Reynolds C. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Shamrock: Cleary D. (Inactive) Gaffney R. (Ankle Injury) Grant D. (Injury) Lopes R. (International duty) Ozhianvuna V. (Injury)

There are questionable in Shamrock: Mandroiu D. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sligo Rovers won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 19:38. (average 1:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Sligo Rovers won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 0.9:1.4).

Outrights of Irish Premier Division for now

Shamrock Rovers: 63.99%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Shamrock Rovers	32	18	8	6	52:32	20	62
10	Sligo Rovers	33	5	8	20	25:59	-34	23

Last Results with these Odds

Shamrock Rovers - the odds 1.61 are the expected chance of winning is 57.82%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sligo Rovers
Irish Premier Division
27.06.26	Sligo Rovers - Shelbourne	2:2 ✺
19.06.26	St Patricks Athletic - Sligo Rovers	2:0 ✺
12.06.26	Waterford - Sligo Rovers	4:0 ✺
29.05.26	Sligo Rovers - Bohemians Dublin	1:3 ✺
22.05.26	Shamrock Rovers - Sligo Rovers	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.7 TLLLW
- Shamrock Rovers
Club Friendly
30.06.26	Shamrock Rovers - Hibernian	1:0 ✺
Irish Premier Division
26.06.26	Shamrock Rovers - Galway United	3:1 ✺
22.06.26	Shamrock Rovers - Derry City	1:1 ✺
19.06.26	Waterford - Shamrock Rovers	0:2 ✺
12.06.26	Shelbourne - Shamrock Rovers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Irish Premier Division
22.05.26	Shamrock Rovers - Sligo Rovers	1:2
13.03.26	Sligo Rovers - Shamrock Rovers	0:2
01.11.25	Shamrock Rovers - Sligo Rovers	1:2
05.07.25	Sligo Rovers - Shamrock Rovers	2:2
05.05.25	Shamrock Rovers - Sligo Rovers	2:0
03.03.25	Sligo Rovers - Shamrock Rovers	2:1
13.09.24	Shamrock Rovers - Sligo Rovers	4:0

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