Match Info

Paulista A3 - Round 7

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday


	XV de Jaú		Paulista

	1	X	2
	2.18	2.92	3.25
	2.17	2.79	3.47
	2.18	2.94	3.4	Watch
	2.2	2.7	3.4
	2.17	2.83	3.48
	2.12	2.9	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (2.15)	2.85 ↓ (2.93)	3.4 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

XV de Jaú
41.7%

Draw
31.8%

Paulista
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

30.6%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

30%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for XV de Jaú have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Paulista has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for XV de Jaú than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paulista than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

XV de Jaú - Paulista Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
62', 0 - 1, Camilo ⚽,
83', 0 - 2, Mineiro K. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

XV de Jaú is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Paulista's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Paulista may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

XV de Jaú could have a small edge in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC XV de Jaú
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
11.02.26	Bandeirante - XV de Jaú	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Itapirense - XV de Jaú	1:3 ✺
04.02.26	XV de Jaú - EC São Bernardo	2:0 ✺
28.01.26	Rio Branco de Americana - XV de Jaú	0:1 ✺
23.01.26	XV de Jaú - União São João	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 TWWWL
- Paulista FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
11.02.26	Paulista - Desportivo Brasil	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Rio Branco de Americana - Paulista	1:0 ✺
04.02.26	Paulista - Portuguesa Santista	2:0 ✺
31.01.26	Marília - Paulista	0:0 ✺
28.01.26	Rio Claro - Paulista	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WLWTL

XV de Jaú - Paulista: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide