Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 16

Date: 29 January 2023, Sunday


	União da Serra		Arronches Benfica

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.3	5.5
	1.53	3.6	5.6
	1.58	3.51	6.23
	1.53	3.66	5.8
	1.54	3.65	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.62)	3.54 ↓ (3.6)	5.79 ↑ (4.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

União da Serra
58.8%

Draw
25.6%

Arronches Benfica
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

25.2%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

24.2%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

União da Serra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Arronches Benfica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for União da Serra than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arronches Benfica than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 in the zone Relegation and 12 in the zone Relegation).

União da Serra is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Arronches Benfica is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match União da Serra is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches União da Serra won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- União da Serra
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
22.01.23	União da Serra - Sertanense	2:1 ✺
15.01.23	Alcains - União da Serra	0:1 ✺
08.01.23	Loures - União da Serra	0:0 ✺
18.12.22	União da Serra - Pero Pinheiro	1:0 ✺
11.12.22	Coruchense - União da Serra	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWTWL
- Arronches Benfica
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
22.01.23	Arronches Benfica - União de Santarém	0:2 ✺
15.01.23	Sertanense - Arronches Benfica	0:1 ✺
08.01.23	SB Castelo Branco - Arronches Benfica	2:0 ✺
18.12.22	Arronches Benfica - Alcains	1:0 ✺
11.12.22	Arronches Benfica - Rio Maior	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
09.10.22	Arronches Benfica - União da Serra	0:1

União da Serra - Arronches Benfica: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide