Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 16

Date: 17 December 2023, Sunday


	Unión Adarve		Mensajero

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.3	5.25
	1.65	3.5	4.4
	1.68	3.5	5
	1.69	3.5	4.95
	1.7	3.48	4.95
	1.63	3.55	4.85
	1.7	3.5	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.57)	3.48 ↑ (3.4)	4.84 ↓ (5.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Adarve
54.7%

Draw
26.4%

Mensajero
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

26.5%

16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

19.5%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Adarve has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Mensajero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Adarve than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Unión Adarve that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mensajero than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Unión Adarve - Mensajero Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Unión Adarve is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mensajero is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Unión Adarve is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Unión Adarve
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
10.12.23	Getafe B - Unión Adarve	2:1 ✺
03.12.23	Unión Adarve - Villanovense	1:1 ✺
26.11.23	Navalcarnero - Unión Adarve	1:2 ✺
19.11.23	Unión Adarve - Numancia	1:1 ✺
11.11.23	Illescas - Unión Adarve	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LTWTL
- CD Mensajero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
10.12.23	Mensajero - San Sebastian Reyes	0:3 ✺
03.12.23	Mensajero - Badajoz	1:1 ✺
26.11.23	Getafe B - Mensajero	2:0 ✺
19.11.23	Mensajero - Villanovense	1:2 ✺
12.11.23	Navalcarnero - Mensajero	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LTLLT

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