Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 12

Date: 19 November 2023, Sunday


	Mensajero		Villanovense

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.75	2.7
	2.6	2.95	2.8
	2.77	2.76	2.92
	2.77	2.66	2.93
	2.63	2.83	2.72
	2.6	2.85	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↓ (4.11)	2.8 ↑ (2.75)	2.8 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mensajero
34.6%

Draw
32.7%

Villanovense
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.1%

33%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.9%

32.7%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mensajero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mensajero's performance.

Villanovense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Villanovense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mensajero than the current prediction. (-12.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mensajero that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villanovense than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Villanovense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mensajero - Villanovense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Mensajero has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Villanovense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Villanovense have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Mensajero won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Mensajero won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Mensajero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
12.11.23	Navalcarnero - Mensajero	2:2 ✺
05.11.23	Mensajero - Numancia	2:3 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
31.10.23	Mensajero - Espanyol	0:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
28.10.23	Illescas - Mensajero	3:1 ✺
22.10.23	Mensajero - Atlético Paso	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TLLLL
- CF Villanovense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
12.11.23	Villanovense - Getafe B	4:0 ✺
05.11.23	Villanovense - Badajoz	1:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
02.11.23	Villanovense - Ibiza	2:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
29.10.23	Navalcarnero - Villanovense	0:2 ✺
22.10.23	Villanovense - Numancia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
20.03.22	Villanovense - Mensajero	1:1
31.10.21	Mensajero - Villanovense	1:0

Mensajero - Villanovense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide