Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 14

Date: 3 December 2023, Sunday


	Mensajero		Badajoz

	1	X	2
	3.5	2.87	2.05
	3.6	3	2.05
	3.94	2.86	2.13
	3.94	2.86	2.14
	3.74	2.79	2.1
	3.65	2.85	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.73 ↑ (3.1)	2.87 ↓ (3.2)	2.1 (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mensajero
24.5%

Draw
31.8%

Badajoz
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

28.1%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

27.8%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mensajero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Badajoz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mensajero than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Badajoz than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Mensajero - Badajoz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out).

Mensajero has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Badajoz is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Badajoz will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Mensajero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
26.11.23	Getafe B - Mensajero	2:0 ✺
19.11.23	Mensajero - Villanovense	1:2 ✺
12.11.23	Navalcarnero - Mensajero	2:2 ✺
05.11.23	Mensajero - Numancia	2:3 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
31.10.23	Mensajero - Espanyol	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLTLL
- CD Badajoz
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
26.11.23	Badajoz - Gimnástica Segoviana	0:1 ✺
19.11.23	Getafe B - Badajoz	0:0 ✺
12.11.23	Badajoz - Cacereño	2:0 ✺
05.11.23	Villanovense - Badajoz	1:2 ✺
28.10.23	Badajoz - Talavera de la Reina	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 LTWWW

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