Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 15

Date: 10 December 2023, Sunday


	Mensajero		San Sebastian Reyes

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.25	2.05
	3.2	3.4	2.1
	3.09	3.41	2.13
	3.09	3.41	2.14
	3.13	3.25	2.11
	3.15	3.3	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↓ (3.91)	3.34 ↑ (3.05)	2.1 ↑ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mensajero
29.2%

Draw
27.4%

San Sebastian Reyes
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.5%

30.1%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.6%

28.9%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mensajero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mensajero's performance.

San Sebastian Reyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mensajero than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mensajero that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Sebastian Reyes than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Mensajero - San Sebastian Reyes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Mensajero is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches SS Reyes is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

SS Reyes will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Mensajero won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Mensajero won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Mensajero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
03.12.23	Mensajero - Badajoz	1:1 ✺
26.11.23	Getafe B - Mensajero	2:0 ✺
19.11.23	Mensajero - Villanovense	1:2 ✺
12.11.23	Navalcarnero - Mensajero	2:2 ✺
05.11.23	Mensajero - Numancia	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TLLTL
- San Sebastian Reyes
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
03.12.23	San Sebastian Reyes - Getafe B	1:2 ✺
26.11.23	Villanovense - San Sebastian Reyes	0:2 ✺
19.11.23	San Sebastian Reyes - Navalcarnero	0:0 ✺
12.11.23	Numancia - San Sebastian Reyes	1:1 ✺
05.11.23	San Sebastian Reyes - Illescas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
16.04.17	San Sebastian Reyes - Mensajero	0:1
20.11.16	Mensajero - San Sebastian Reyes	2:0

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