Match Info

PERU: Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 7

Date: 17 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal Carlos Vidaurre Garcia (Tarapoto)

Referee: Villegas H. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:


Peru	L1 Max, L1 Play, Liga 1 Play
World	Fanatiz


	Unión Comercio		Sport Huancayo

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.4	3.7	Watch
	1.9	3.1	3.5
	1.95	3.4	3.9	Watch
	1.99	3.45	4.01
	1.97	3.31	3.94	Watch
	1.85	3.5	3.6
	1.94	3.66	3.95	Watch
	1.95	3.35	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.03)	3.4 ↓ (3.5)	3.81 ↓ (3.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Comercio
48.2%

Draw
27.4%

Sport Huancayo
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

27.5%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

25%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Comercio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Sport Huancayo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Comercio than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Unión Comercio that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Huancayo than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	28.6%	28.6%

Unión Comercio - Sport Huancayo Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Unión Comercio will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Huancayo will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Barrios I. (G) 16. Villamarin R. 3. Paredes T. 93. Riojas H. 34. Aranda S. 92. Carranza T. 5. Sanchez K. 15. Jimenez O. 38. Ramirez E. 10. Hernan Perez 9. de Jesus M.	12. Rabines M. (G) 15. Garro L. 4. Guti 14. Barreda J. 2. Angeles H. 10. Lliuya M. 33. Otavio Gut 5. Meza J. 20. Gomez R. 9. Cano L. 11. Ross C.
Substitutes
33. Aguirre J. 7. Carranza M. 12. Diaz W. (G) 24. Javier Navea 31. Serra P. 26. Tandazo J. 30. Torres J. 17. Vargas D. 29. Zeta H.	21. Benites Vargas L. E. 28. Deza J. 7. Gomez A. 19. Huaccha R. 3. Minaya D. 24. Perez A. 88. Pinto J. (G) 37. Quina M. 22. Salcedo R.
Coaches
Oropeza J.	Navarro F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Ross C. 🟨,
29', Garro L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Garro L. ↓, Perez A. ↑,
46', Meza J. ↓, Salcedo R. ↑,
61', Jimenez O. ↓, Carranza M. ↑,
62', Hernan Perez ↓, Tandazo J. ↑,
62', Gomez R. ↓, Benites Vargas L. E. ↑,
72', 0 - 1, Lliuya M. ⚽,
73', Ross C. ↓, Gomez A. ↑,
74', Ramirez E. ↓, Zeta H. ↑,
74', Carranza T. ↓, Torres J. ↑,
77', Sanchez K. ↓, Serra P. ↑,
82', Lliuya M. ↓, Huaccha R. ↑,

Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 15 and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Unión Comercio won 1.

Unión Comercio is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Huancayo is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Huancayo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Unión Comercio will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Unión Comercio won 9 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 32-27.

Including matches at home between the teams Unión Comercio won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 22-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión Comercio
Peruvian Liga 1
09.08.24	Cajamarca - Unión Comercio	3:1 ✺
04.08.24	Unión Comercio - FBC Melgar	2:1 ✺
30.07.24	Alianza Lima - Unión Comercio	1:0 ✺
21.07.24	Carlos A. Mannucci - Unión Comercio	0:0 ✺
12.07.24	Unión Comercio - Los Chankas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LWLTL
- Sport Huancayo
Peruvian Liga 1
11.08.24	Sport Huancayo - Universitario de Deportes	1:1 ✺
05.08.24	Alianza Atlético - Sport Huancayo	1:1 ✺
30.07.24	Sport Huancayo - Universidad César Vallejo	1:0 ✺
25.07.24	Cusco - Sport Huancayo	3:0 ✺
19.07.24	Sport Huancayo - Deportivo Garcilaso	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
10.03.24	Sport Huancayo - Unión Comercio	2:2
11.08.23	Sport Huancayo - Unión Comercio	1:1
12.03.23	Unión Comercio - Sport Huancayo	2:0
10.11.19	Unión Comercio - Sport Huancayo	1:2
27.05.19	Sport Huancayo - Unión Comercio	3:1
24.10.18	Unión Comercio - Sport Huancayo	4:2
28.07.18	Sport Huancayo - Unión Comercio	0:0

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