Match Info

PERU: Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 4

Date: 30 July 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Alejandro Villanueva (Lima)

Referee: Palomino M. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:


Peru	L1 Max, L1 Play, Liga 1 Play
World	Fanatiz


	Alianza Lima		Unión Comercio

	1	X	2
	1.14	7.5	19	Watch
	1.13	7	15
	1.13	7.6	21	Watch
	1.14	7.35	20
	1.15	6.87	20.93	Watch
	1.08	8	19
	1.15	8.15	20	Watch
	1.14	6.8	18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.13 ↓ (1.15)	7.41 ↓ (7.57)	19.12 ↑ (16.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alianza Lima
82.5%

Draw
12.6%

Unión Comercio
4.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

81.8%

12.4%

5.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alianza Lima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Unión Comercio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	22.2%	22.2%

Alianza Lima - Unión Comercio Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Alianza Lima will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Unión Comercio will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alianza Lima: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Campos A. (G) 25. Huaman M. 55. Zambrano C. 6. Garces R. 2. Freytes J. 27. Cabellos C. 10. Rodriguez S. 15. Castillo J. 70. Quevedo K. 9. Barcos H. 7. Zanelatto F.	12. Diaz W. (G) 16. Villamarin R. 3. Paredes T. (C) 31. Serra P. 33. Aguirre J. 7. Carranza M. 5. Sanchez K. 17. Vargas D. 26. Tandazo J. 38. Ramirez E. 9. de Jesus M.
Substitutes
5. Arregui A. 11. D'Arrigo J. 13. Lagos R. 14. Moyano A. 17. Neira C. 29. Ramos J. 19. Sabbag P. 32. Saravia F. (G) . Succar M.	1. Barrios I. (G) 92. Carranza T. 10. Hernan Perez 32. Rengifo S. 93. Riojas H. 19. Uribe C. 29. Zeta H.
Coaches
Restrepo A.	Oropeza J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Villamarin R. 🟨,
41', Vargas D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Tandazo J. ↓, Hernan Perez ↑,
56', Sanchez K. 🟨,
61', Vargas D. ↓, Carranza T. ↑,
67', Huaman M. ↓, Sabbag P. ↑,
72', Quevedo K. ↓, D'Arrigo J. ↑,
73', Carranza M. ↓, Rengifo S. ↑,
78', Serra P. 🟨,
80', 1 - 0, Carranza T. (Own goal),
84', Sanchez K. ↓, Uribe C. ↑,
87', Castillo J. ↓, Arregui A. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alianza Lima won 4.

Recent matches Alianza Lima is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Alianza Lima could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Alianza Lima is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Alianza Lima won 12 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 37-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Alianza Lima won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alianza Lima
Peruvian Liga 1
26.07.24	Universitario de Deportes - Alianza Lima	2:1 ✺
20.07.24	Alianza Lima - Alianza Atlético	2:0 ✺
13.07.24	Universidad César Vallejo - Alianza Lima	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
30.06.24	Alianza Lima - Sporting Cristal	1:1 ✺
26.06.24	Alianza Lima - Bolívar	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWWTL
- Unión Comercio
Peruvian Liga 1
21.07.24	Carlos A. Mannucci - Unión Comercio	0:0 ✺
12.07.24	Unión Comercio - Los Chankas	1:2 ✺
27.05.24	Unión Comercio - Cienciano	1:1 ✺
18.05.24	Sporting Cristal - Unión Comercio	5:1 ✺
10.05.24	Unión Comercio - ADT Tarma	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
18.02.24	Unión Comercio - Alianza Lima	1:3
17.09.23	Alianza Lima - Unión Comercio	3:1
23.04.23	Unión Comercio - Alianza Lima	1:3
24.11.19	Unión Comercio - Alianza Lima	2:3
07.06.19	Alianza Lima - Unión Comercio	1:1
21.09.18	Unión Comercio - Alianza Lima	1:3
02.06.18	Alianza Lima - Unión Comercio	2:0

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