Match Info

Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 11

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Huancayo (Huancayo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Peru	Liga 1 Play, Movistar TV App
Usa	Fanatiz


	Sport Huancayo		Deportivo Garcilaso

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.3	4.2	Watch
	1.95	3.3	3.85	Watch
	2.02	3.34	4.13
	2.04	3.39	3.61	Watch
	1.91	3.1	4
	1.87	3.34	4.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.77)	3.3 ↓ (3.57)	4.01 ↓ (4.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sport Huancayo
48.2%

Draw
28.4%

Deportivo Garcilaso
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

26.2%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

25.5%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sport Huancayo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Deportivo Garcilaso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Huancayo than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sport Huancayo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Garcilaso than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Sport Huancayo - Deportivo Garcilaso Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Huancayo will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Zamudio A. (G) 16. Falconi J. 4. Barreda J. 26. Gaona M. 2. Angeles H. 38. Villar E. 22. Salcedo R. (C) 19. Huaccha R. 10. Lujan N. 23. Magallanes P. 99. Caballero F.	1. Zubczuk P. (C) 55. Canales E. 19. Gomez A. 13. Benincasa H. 16. Nunez O. 27. Ascues A. 11. Arancibia F. 23. Moreno X. 8. Gonzalez A. 30. Da Silva B. 24. Olivares C.
Substitutes
7. Campodonico R. 20. Canela Torres J. J. 8. Carabano D. 29. Ccorahua A. (G) 15. Chavez A. 9. Martinez J. 17. Mena Y. 92. Murillo Y. 6. Villar L.	31. Barbieri J. (G) 6. Garrafa Tapia I. A. 29. Graneros A. 18. Ramos Rodriguez C. I. 2. Salazar A. 10. Sandoval K. 7. Sinisterra J. 14. Torrejon C. 33. Villacorta S.
Coaches
Pellejero R.	Dominguez S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Olivares C. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Villar E. ↓, Campodonico R. ↑,
58', Magallanes P. ↓, Canela Torres J. J. ↑,
58', Huaccha R. ↓, Mena Y. ↑,
58', Ascues A. ↓, Ramos Rodriguez C. I. ↑,
58', Arancibia F. ↓, Sinisterra J. ↑,
58', Gonzalez A. ↓, Salazar A. ↑,
65', 1 - 1, Lujan N. ⚽,
66', Olivares C. ↓, Graneros A. ↑,
72', Lujan N. ↓, Carabano D. ↑,
79', 2 - 1, Caballero F. ⚽, Canela Torres J. J. (A),
83', Nunez O. ↓, Sandoval K. ↑,
85', Caballero F. ↓, Murillo Y. ↑,
90+4', Campodonico R. 🟨,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 14 and 13)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Huancayo won 2.

Recent form of Huancayo has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Deportivo Garcilaso has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Deportivo Garcilaso may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Huancayo is considered a favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Huancayo won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 0.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Huancayo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Deportivo Garcilaso	11	7	1	3	18:7	11	22
2	Sport Huancayo	11	7	1	3	17:13	4	22

Last Results with these Odds

Deportivo Garcilaso - the odds 4.44 are the expected chance of winning is 21.04%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sport Huancayo
Peruvian Liga 1
15.04.26	Cajamarca - Sport Huancayo	2:2 ✺
05.04.26	Sport Huancayo - Comerciantes Unidos	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Sport Boys - Sport Huancayo	3:0 ✺
14.03.26	Sport Huancayo - ADT Tarma	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Moquegua - Sport Huancayo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TTLLL
- Deportivo Garcilaso
Peruvian Liga 1
04.04.26	Deportivo Garcilaso - Sport Boys	3:2 ✺
22.03.26	Atlético Grau - Deportivo Garcilaso	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	Deportivo Garcilaso - Alianza Lima	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Cusco - Deportivo Garcilaso	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
03.03.26	Alianza Atlético - Deportivo Garcilaso	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
23.08.25	Deportivo Garcilaso - Sport Huancayo	1:1
04.04.25	Sport Huancayo - Deportivo Garcilaso	0:3
19.07.24	Sport Huancayo - Deportivo Garcilaso	1:0
04.02.24	Deportivo Garcilaso - Sport Huancayo	0:2
21.09.23	Sport Huancayo - Deportivo Garcilaso	0:0
29.04.23	Deportivo Garcilaso - Sport Huancayo	1:1

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