The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alianza Atlético 47.9%
Draw 27.7%
Sport Huancayo 24.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.1%
25.7%
23.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.9%
24.8%
22.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza Atlético has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
Sport Huancayo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Atlético than the current prediction. (+5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Huancayo than the current prediction. (-2%)
Alianza Atlético - Sport Huancayo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
95. Prieto D. (G) 21. Perleche E. 4. Villegas J. C. 6. Lujan J. 24. Gordillo A. 22. del Castillo J. 10. Diaz G. 15. Lupu H. (C) 11. Larios Saavedra G. A. 9. Robaldo V. 17. Penilla C.
12. Zamudio A. (G) 4. Barreda J. 70. Valoyes J. 26. Gaona M. 2. Angeles H. 28. Rostaing J. 8. Carabano D. 22. Salcedo R. (C) 11. Sanguinetti J. 10. Lujan N. 99. Caballero F.
Substitutes
99. Barreda M. 16. Fernandez S. 8. Flores F. 25. Guzman W. 1. Hermoza E. (G) 19. Mendieta J. 20. Perez J. 2. Suarez R. 77. Valladolid C.
7. Campodonico R. 21. Campos D. (G) 20. Canela Torres J. J. 16. Falconi J. 19. Huaccha R. 23. Magallanes P. 9. Martinez J. 17. Mena Y. 92. Murillo Y. 38. Villar E.
Coaches
Urciuoli F.
Pellejero R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Valoyes J. ⚽, Carabano D. (A),
16', 1 - 1, Larios Saavedra G. A. ⚽, Penilla C. (A),
18', Barreda J. 🟥,
21', 2 - 1, Penilla C. (Penalty Awarded),
27', Lupu H. 🟨,
35', Larios Saavedra G. A. ↓, Valladolid C. ↑,
37', 3 - 1, Valladolid C. ⚽, Penilla C. (A),
39', Angeles H. ↓, Falconi J. ↑,
39', Rostaing J. 🟨,
44', Carabano D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Caballero F. ↓, Huaccha R. ↑,
46', Carabano D. ↓, Villar E. ↑,
46', Lujan N. ↓, Mena Y. ↑,
65', Valoyes J. 🟨,
67', Robaldo V. ↓, Barreda M. ↑,
67', Diaz G. ↓, Fernandez S. ↑,
67', del Castillo J. ↓, Perez J. ↑,
72', Fernandez S. 🟨,
73', Sanguinetti J. ↓, Campodonico R. ↑,
76', 4 - 1, Penilla C. ⚽, Barreda M. (A),
79', Perleche E. ↓, Guzman W. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza Atlético won 0.
Alianza Atlético has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Huancayo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Alianza Atlético may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Alianza Atlético is the team to beat.
There will not play in Huancayo: Valoyes J.
(Injury)
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Alianza Atlético won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 18:28. (average 1.1:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Alianza Atlético won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:7. (average 1.4:0.8).