Match Info

Liga 2 - Round 11

Date: 25 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Mansiche (Trujillo)


	Universidad César Vallejo		Unión Comercio

	1	X	2
	2.20	3.00	3.00
	2.18	3	3.1
	2.18	3.12	3.08
	2.23	3.24	3.19	Watch
	2.11	3.05	3
	2.26	3.08	3.18
	2.2	3.05	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.68)	3.08 ↓ (3.1)	3.1 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universidad César Vallejo
41.3%

Draw
29.5%

Unión Comercio
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

30%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad César Vallejo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Universidad César Vallejo's performance.

Unión Comercio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Unión Comercio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Universidad César Vallejo - Unión Comercio Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. César Vallejo will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Unión Comercio will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Silva F. (G)
9. Barrera
55. Bernaola B.
19. Canahualpa M.
5. Da Rosa F.
69. Garcia R.
2. Madrid J.
3. Mesias Silva P. C.
36. Moyano A.
27. Quispe J.
6. Ysique F.
Substitutes
32. Astudillo J.
18. Catashunga J.
26. de la Cruz J.
15. Grandez G.
40. Regalado I.
30. Urtecho E.
12. Valencia A. (G)
11. Vasquez D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Da Rosa F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Garcia R. ↓, Cornejo M. ↑,
55', Mesias Silva P. C. ↓, Vasquez D. ↑,
56', Madrid J. 🟨,
61', Canahualpa M. ↓, Grandez G. ↑,
63', 🟨,
68', Barrera S. ↓, Regalado I. ↑,
86', Vargas C. ↓, Carranza M. ↑,
86', Paucar E. ↓, Ayala J. ↑,
88', Ayala J. 🟨,
90+4', Cruz E. 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 7 in the zone Liga 2 (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Promotion Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, César Vallejo won 2.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, César Vallejo won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:18. (average 1.3:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, César Vallejo won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 1.1:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universidad César Vallejo
Peruvian Copa de la Liga
28.06.26	Universidad César Vallejo - Carlos A. Mannucci	2:3 ✺
19.06.26	Alianza Atlético - Universidad César Vallejo	2:0 ✺
14.06.26	Universidad César Vallejo - Alianza Lima	0:0 ✺
Peruvian Liga 2
25.05.26	ADA Jaén - Universidad César Vallejo	1:1 ✺
17.05.26	Universidad César Vallejo - Universidad San Martín	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLTTL
- Unión Comercio
Peruvian Copa de la Liga
27.06.26	Sporting Cristal - Unión Comercio	2:0 ✺
20.06.26	Unión Comercio - Comerciantes Belén	0:1 ✺
Peruvian Liga 2
31.05.26	Unión Comercio - ADA Jaén	1:0 ✺
23.05.26	Universidad San Martín - Unión Comercio	0:1 ✺
17.05.26	Unión Comercio - Deportivo Llacuabamba	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
05.04.26	Unión Comercio - Universidad César Vallejo	1:0
02.11.25	Unión Comercio - Universidad César Vallejo	2:2
26.10.25	Universidad César Vallejo - Unión Comercio	2:0
Peruvian Liga 1
13.09.24	Universidad César Vallejo - Unión Comercio	1:0
06.04.24	Unión Comercio - Universidad César Vallejo	2:2
21.07.23	Unión Comercio - Universidad César Vallejo	1:4
17.02.23	Universidad César Vallejo - Unión Comercio	3:1

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