Match Info

Liga de Ascenso - Round 7

Date: 10 April 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Santa Laura-Universidad SEK (Santiago de Chile)


	Unión Española		Cobreloa

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.35	3
	2.11	3.66	3.02
	2.13	3.71	3.02	Watch
	2.1	3.3	3
	2.14	3.66	3.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.4)	3.54 ↑ (3.32)	3.01 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Española
43.4%

Draw
26.1%

Cobreloa
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

28%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

28.9%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Española has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Cobreloa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Española than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cobreloa than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Unión Española - Cobreloa Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Unión Española will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Cobreloa will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cobreloa (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Fierro J. (G) 16. Ormeno M. 21. Pereira S. 3. Alarcon R. 24. Norambuena G. 5. Machado W. 17. Massri F. 15. Droguett B. 20. Wassenne M. 8. Rubio P. (C) 19. Tolosa T.	30. Tapia D. (G) 17. Tapia D. 5. Gonzalez R. (C) 15. Garcia D. 7. Zuniga S. 8. Cornejo L. 21. Muga C. 29. Gatica J. 14. Aranguiz T. 11. Gotti G. 22. Delgado A.
Substitutes
4. Celis M. 2. Contreras K. 22. Nunez A. 26. Roco B. 1. Rodriguez M. (G) 7. Vasquez R. 9. Vilches Araneda A.	1. Araya Tobar H. E. (G) 31. Gallardo E. 3. Gonzalez Y. 24. Porras R. 13. Quezada A. 27. Sandoval M. 32. Velazco F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Gonzalez R. 🟨,
45', Zuniga S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Tolosa T. ↓, Vilches Araneda A. ↑,
46', Droguett B. ↓, Vasquez R. ↑,
46', Ormeno M. ↓, Contreras K. ↑,
48', 0 - 1, Delgado A. (Penalty Awarded),
55', Tapia D. ↓, Velazco F. ↑,
68', Garcia D. 🟨,
73', Zuniga S. ↓, Sandoval M. ↑,
75', Massri F. ↓, Nunez A. ↑,
78', Vasquez R. 🟥,
81', Norambuena G. ↓, Celis M. ↑,
82', Contreras K. 🟨,
85', Gatica J. 🟨,
86', 1 - 1, Vilches Araneda A. ⚽,
90+1', Fierro J. 🟨,
90+2', Delgado A. ↓, Gallardo E. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión Española won 2.

Unión Española is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Cobreloa is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Unión Española is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Unión Española won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Unión Española won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.4:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Cobreloa	26	13	9	4	44:27	17	48
9	U. Espanola	26	10	6	10	32:34	-2	36

Last Results with these Odds

Unión Española - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 38.71%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión Española
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
28.03.26	San Marcos de Arica - Unión Española	2:0 ✺
20.03.26	Unión Española - Deportes Puerto Montt	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Deportes Antofagasta - Unión Española	2:1 ✺
10.03.26	Unión Española - Deportes Magallanes	1:2 ✺
27.02.26	Deportes Recoleta - Unión Española	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LWLLL
- Cobreloa
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
29.03.26	Cobreloa - Unión San Felipe	2:0 ✺
23.03.26	Cobreloa - Deportes Magallanes	1:1 ✺
13.03.26	Deportes Iquique - Cobreloa	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	Cobreloa - Curicó Unido	5:1 ✺
27.02.26	Deportes Santa Cruz - Cobreloa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
17.08.24	Unión Española - Cobreloa	3:0
16.03.24	Cobreloa - Unión Española	1:0
15.03.15	Cobreloa - Unión Española	1:1
19.10.14	Unión Española - Cobreloa	2:1
14.02.14	Cobreloa - Unión Española	1:1
14.09.13	Unión Española - Cobreloa	0:1
13.04.13	Unión Española - Cobreloa	0:0

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