The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Marcos de Arica 44.2%
Draw 28.2%
Unión Española 27.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38%
29.9%
32.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.5%
29.5%
31.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Marcos de Arica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Marcos de Arica's performance.
Unión Española has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Marcos de Arica than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Marcos de Arica that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Española than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
50%
0%
San Marcos de Arica - Unión Española Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. San Marcos de Arica will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Tapia B. (G) 15. Cubillos G. 23. Cazula A. 5. Rivera J. 3. Aguila Bastias Y. M. 26. Rencoret C. (C) 14. Guerra C. 22. Donadell N. 10. Sagredo B. 18. Galleguillos A. 9. Melivilu Fuentes C.
13. Fierro J. (G) 2. Contreras K. 26. Roco B. 21. Pereira S. 32. Molina L. 14. Nunez I. 5. Machado W. 24. Norambuena G. 20. Wassenne M. 8. Rubio P. 10. Aranguiz P. (C)
Substitutes
20. Abalos A. 4. Iturra M. 27. Orrego I. 24. Pereira D. 16. Reyes G. 1. Saracho R. (G) 11. Zedan N.
4. Celis M. 30. Cordero R. 6. Jauregui B. 17. Massri F. 16. Ormeno M. 1. Rodriguez M. (G) 9. Vilches Araneda A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Guerra C. ⚽,
36', Roco B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Nunez I. ↓, Vilches Araneda A. ↑,
47', Molina L. ↓, Cordero R. ↑,
65', 2 - 0, Melivilu Fuentes C. ⚽,
71', Sagredo B. ↓, Zedan N. ↑,
71', Cazula A. ↓, Iturra M. ↑,
71', Galleguillos A. ↓, Pereira D. ↑,
77', Aranguiz P. ↓, Massri F. ↑,
77', Machado W. ↓, Jauregui B. ↑,
83', Zedan N. 🟨,
85', Melivilu Fuentes C. ↓, Reyes G. ↑,
85', Guerra C. ↓, Orrego I. ↑,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
San Marcos de Arica may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Marcos de Arica won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).
Including home matches between the teams, San Marcos de Arica won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).