Match Info

Liga de Primera - Round 16

Date: 25 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Huachipato-CAP Acero (Talcahuano)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TNT Sports Premium
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Huachipato		Cobresal

	1	X	2
	1.46	3.90	6.25	Watch
	1.55	4.20	5.50
	1.58	4.10	4.90	Watch
	1.54	4.40	6.02
	1.57	4.23	5.27	Watch
	1.55	4.20	5.75
	1.58	4.05	6.19	Watch
	1.51	4.00	5.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.62)	4.14 ↑ (3.7)	5.64 ↑ (5.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Huachipato
60.7%

Draw
22.7%

Cobresal
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

24.9%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

18.5%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Huachipato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Cobresal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Huachipato than the current prediction. (-18.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Huachipato that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cobresal than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cobresal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Huachipato - Cobresal Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Huachipato will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Huachipato (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.72) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (1.72) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Bravo C. (G) 2. Guaiquil G. 5. Caroca R. 8. Vargas N. 27. Velasquez L. 6. Sepulveda C. (C) 24. Leon Munoz M. A. 10. Canete E. 30. Altez K. 9. Altamirano L. 7. Briceno M.	12. Santander A. (G) 22. Astudillo A. 18. Moreno C. 20. Tiznado J. (C) 15. Castillo A. 17. Fuentes J. 13. Valenzuela B. 38. Villagran 11. Brea J. 37. Espinoza M. 39. Morales J.
Substitutes
33. Abarzua A. 18. Ampuero B. 22. Carcamo J. 49. Cruzat I. (G) 11. Figueroa J. 21. Herrera C. 13. Malanca R. 15. Rodriguez M. 51. Torrejon M.	16. Bechtholdt F. 10. Carvallo U. B. A. 32. Frias F. 5. Nadruz A. 36. Olguin M. (G) 23. Pacheco G. 8. Pino S. 6. Valencia E. 7. Yanis C.
Coaches
Garcia J.	Huerta G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Caroca R. ⚽, Canete E. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 3)
46', Espinoza M. ↓, Pino S. ↑,
46', Valenzuela B. ↓, Nadruz A. ↑,
49', 1 - 1, Pino S. ⚽,
56', 1 - 2, Brea J. ⚽, Castillo A. (A),
60', Canete E. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
61', Pino S. 🟨,
69', Morales J. ↓, Yanis C. ↑,
70', 1 - 3, Vargas N. (Own goal),
72', Guaiquil G. ↓, Abarzua A. ↑,
79', Velasquez L. ↓, Malanca R. ↑,
81', Moreno C. ↓, Bechtholdt F. ↑,
81', 2 - 3, Rodriguez M. ⚽,
83', Brea J. ↓, Carvallo U. B. A. ↑,
85', Altez K. 🟥,
90+6', 3 - 3, Altamirano L. ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: ) and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Huachipato won 1.

In recent matches, Huachipato has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cobresal has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Huachipato is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Huachipato won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:24. (average 1.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Huachipato won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:5. (average 1.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Huachipato	24	10	4	10	34:39	-5	34
14	Cobresal	24	7	4	13	35:45	-10	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Huachipato
Chilean Cup
12.07.26	Deportes Temuco - Huachipato	0:1 ✺
05.07.26	Deportes Puerto Montt - Huachipato	2:1 ✺
02.07.26	Huachipato - Deportes Concepción	1:2 ✺
28.06.26	Huachipato - Deportes Temuco	2:0 ✺
24.06.26	Deportes Concepción - Huachipato	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLWL
- CD Cobresal
Chilean Cup
12.07.26	Deportes Antofagasta - Cobresal	1:0 ✺
05.07.26	Cobresal - Cobreloa	2:2 ✺
01.07.26	Cobresal - Deportes La Serena	0:1 ✺
28.06.26	Cobresal - Deportes Antofagasta	0:1 ✺
24.06.26	Deportes La Serena - Cobresal	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
31.01.26	Cobresal - Huachipato	1:0
13.09.25	Cobresal - Huachipato	3:2
19.04.25	Huachipato - Cobresal	0:1
09.08.24	Huachipato - Cobresal	0:0
09.03.24	Cobresal - Huachipato	1:2
14.07.23	Cobresal - Huachipato	2:0
29.01.23	Huachipato - Cobresal	2:1

Huachipato - Cobresal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide