The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cobresal 60.3%
Draw 24.3%
San Marcos de Arica 15.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.4%
28.2%
18.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.6%
27.6%
18.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cobresal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cobresal's performance.
San Marcos de Arica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cobresal than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cobresal that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Marcos de Arica than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Cobresal - San Marcos de Arica Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Santander A. (G) 22. Astudillo A. 15. Fernandez V. 21. Gaete J. 10. Henriquez Neira J. A. 8. Marquez A. 13. Mesias C. (C) 24. Ramirez B. 20. Tiznado J. 3. Toro C. 11. Vilches Araneda A.
22. Tapia B. (G) 2. Ayala I. 4. Caceres C. 21. Camarda M. (C) 19. Contreras A. 6. Ledesma F. 3. Muller I. 24. Pereira D. 35. Plaza D. 27. Valenzuela C. 10. Velazco F.
Substitutes
19. Carrasco S. 28. Cespedes D. 9. Coelho D. 32. Moreno C. 18. Munder C. 31. Oliva G. 30. Pinos J. (G) 6. Valenzuela B. 7. Yanis C.
12. Bravo D. 36. Campos R. 13. Dedes M. (G) 23. Godoy M. 31. Maluenda L. 33. Martin R. 9. Melivilu Fuentes C. 26. Rencoret C. 11. Rosales F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
18', Tapia B. 🟥,
19', Valenzuela C. ↓, Dedes M. ↑,
22', 1 - 0, Henriquez Neira J. A. ⚽,
34', Contreras A. ↓, Bravo D. ↑,
45+5', Mesias C. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Pereira D. ↓, Melivilu Fuentes C. ↑,
46', Mesias C. ↓, Cespedes D. ↑,
46', Henriquez Neira J. A. ↓, Munder C. ↑,
46', Ramirez B. ↓, Yanis C. ↑,
57', Gaete J. ↓, Coelho D. ↑,
75', Astudillo A. 🟨,
79', Camarda M. ↓, Rencoret C. ↑,
81', Toro C. 🟨,
89', 2 - 0, Coelho D. ⚽,
90+5', 3 - 0, Cespedes D. ⚽,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Cobresal won 1.
Recent matches Cobresal is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
San Marcos de Arica is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Cobresal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Cobresal is a favorite.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Cobresal won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8:13 (average 0.9:1.4).
Including matches at home between the teams Cobresal won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1 (average 0.7:0.3).
Watch
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Santander A. (G) 
Astudillo A. 
Camarda M. (C) 
Ledesma F. 
Pinos J. (G) 
Yanis C. 
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