The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cobresal 14.4%
Draw 21.5%
Universidad Católica 64%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.5%
28.3%
46.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.1%
26.7%
48.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cobresal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cobresal's form might have worsened.
Universidad Católica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Universidad Católica's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cobresal than the current prediction. (+9.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cobresal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica than the current prediction. (-15.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Universidad Católica, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
22.2%
0%
77.8%
Cobresal - Universidad Católica Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Cobresal will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Uni Católica will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Uni Católica: 50.6% – 100%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DNB - Uni Católica (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Uni Católica (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Pinos J. (G) 22. Astudillo A. 32. Frias F. 14. Huerta R. 28. Moreno B. 18. Moreno C. 23. Pacheco G. (C) 29. Ramis O. 27. Roki M. 4. Sandoval R. 3. Villarroel B.
27. Melo D. (G) 19. Ampuero B. 28. Cerezo B. 26. Diaz J. 7. Giani J. 3. Mena E. 11. Montes C. 10. Palavecino M. 18. Rossel J. 20. Valencia J. 8. Zuqui F.
Substitutes
26. Belmar V. 15. Castillo A. 2. Fuentes A. 17. Fuentes J. 31. Leyton D. 24. Ramirez B. 12. Santander A. (G) 21. Sepulveda M. 13. Valenzuela B.
1. Bernedo V. (G) 13. Canales A. . Corral D. 15. Cuevas C. 22. Gomez M. 2. Gonzalez D. 39. L’Huillier N. 30. Valencia D. 9. Zampedri F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
11', 0 - 1, Montes C. ⚽,
32', Giani J. (Penalty Awarded),
34', 0 - 2, Giani J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Giani J. ↓, Corral D. ↑,
46', Rossel J. ↓, Zampedri F. ↑,
46', Ramis O. ↓, Valenzuela B. ↑,
46', Roki M. ↓, Castillo A. ↑,
46', Moreno B. ↓, Fuentes J. ↑,
48', 1 - 2, Moreno F. ⚽,
58', Montes C. ↓, Valencia D. ↑,
58', Frias F. ↓, Sepulveda M. ↑,
63', 1 - 3, Zampedri F. (Penalty Awarded),
70', Fuentes J. 🟨,
73', Huerta R. ↓, Belmar V. ↑,
76', Palavecino M. ↓, Cuevas C. ↑,
81', Zuqui F. ↓, Canales A. ↑,
88', Fuentes J. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cobresal won 2.
Cobresal is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Uni Católica's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Uni Católica might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cobresal won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 27:41. (average 1.4:2.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Cobresal won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:20. (average 1.6:2).
Watch
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Pinos J. (G) 
Astudillo A. 
Frias F. 
Huerta R. 
Valencia J. 
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