Match Info

CHILE: Primera Division - Round 9

Date: 21 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Santa Laura-Universidad SEK (Santiago de Chile)


	Unión Española		Deportes Copiapó

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.75	4.75	Watch
	1.75	3.8	4.2
	1.75	3.75	4.5	Watch
	1.76	3.93	4.57
	1.76	3.93	4.57
	1.65	3.8	4.33
	1.74	3.84	4.36	Watch
	1.72	3.75	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.78)	3.82 ↑ (3.58)	4.45 ↑ (4.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Española
54.3%

Draw
24.6%

Deportes Copiapó
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

26.1%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

25.6%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Española has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Deportes Copiapó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Española than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Copiapó than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

Unión Española - Deportes Copiapó Predictions

Users Predictions: Unión Española will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Torgnascioli F. (G) 16. Ramirez S. 30. Tiznado J. 28. Villagra J. 29. Magnasco S. 14. Nunez I. 5. Gonzalez D. (C) 11. Uribe A. 34. Ovelar F. 20. Frias F. 8. Aranguiz P.	22. Espinoza N. (G) 17. Nieto B. 2. Cazula A. 15. Garcia D. 6. Calisto F. 23. Jaime J. (C) 32. Soto B. 7. Leonardo Pais 10. Luna J. 9. Figueroa T. 18. Gaete J.
Substitutes
13. Ballesteros J. M. (G) 7. Carvallo U. B. A. 6. Jauregui B. 24. Norambuena G. 27. Pavez L. 2. Vidal V. 22. Yanez B.	31. Diaz I. 20. Gonzalez Y. 1. Leyton R. (G) 21. Medel de la Fuente M. 28. Oyanedel Hernandez Y. A. 29. Quinteros M. 26. Torres F.
Coaches
Ponce M.	Basay I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Garcia D. ⚽, Luna J. (A),
21', 1 - 1, Ovelar F. ⚽, Gonzalez D. (A),
26', Jaime J. 🟨,
28', 2 - 1, Aranguiz P. ⚽,
35', 3 - 1, Ovelar F. ⚽, Aranguiz P. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Leonardo Pais ↓, Torres F. ↑,
46', Gaete J. ↓, Gonzalez Y. ↑,
55', 3 - 2, Gonzalez Y. ⚽, Torres F. (A),
56', 4 - 2, Magnasco S. ⚽,
65', 5 - 2, Frias F. ⚽, Ovelar F. (A),
66', Soto B. ↓, Quinteros M. ↑,
67', Figueroa T. ↓, Diaz I. ↑,
75', Ovelar F. ↓, Yanez B. ↑,
76', Garcia D. 🟨,
82', Uribe A. ↓, Carvallo U. B. A. ↑,
82', Gonzalez D. ↓, Jauregui B. ↑,
82', Frias F. ↓, Norambuena G. ↑,
84', 5 - 3, Quinteros M. ⚽, Luna J. (A),
90+1', Magnasco S. ↓, Pavez L. ↑,
90+3', Cazula A. 🟨,
90+5', Garcia D. 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: ) and 14).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Unión Española could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Unión Española have a series of home games.

In this match Unión Española is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Unión Española won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Unión Española won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión Española
Chilean Primera Division
13.04.24	Unión Española - Everton de Viña	4:2 ✺
07.04.24	Unión Española - Universidad de Chile	0:1 ✺
31.03.24	Unión Española - Ñublense	5:3 ✺
16.03.24	Cobreloa - Unión Española	1:0 ✺
09.03.24	Unión Española - Audax Italiano	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLWLW
- Deportes Copiapó
Chilean Primera Division
15.04.24	Cobresal - Deportes Copiapó	3:0 ✺
06.04.24	Deportes Copiapó - Deportes Iquique	3:0 ✺
30.03.24	Deportes Copiapó - Unión La Calera	2:0 ✺
17.03.24	Huachipato - Deportes Copiapó	2:1 ✺
10.03.24	Ñublense - Deportes Copiapó	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
26.08.23	Deportes Copiapó - Unión Española	4:3
04.03.23	Unión Española - Deportes Copiapó	3:0

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