The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Unión Española 41.9%
Draw 27.2%
Deportes Copiapó 30.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
40.8%
26.9%
32.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.2%
27.2%
32.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Unión Española has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
Deportes Copiapó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Española than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Copiapó than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Unión Española - Deportes Copiapó Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Fierro J. (G) 16. Ormeno M. 18. Aja J. 3. Alarcon R. 32. Molina L. 4. Celis M. 17. Massri F. 20. Wassenne M. 19. Araos A. 10. Aranguiz P. (C) 11. Ratotti F.
22. Temperini N. (G) 20. Filla M. 5. Torres F. (C) 4. Ortiz A. 15. Santander J. 21. Fernandez E. 6. Zamorano C. 10. Ledezma I. 7. Ross C. 27. Lopez M. 23. Rojas M.
Substitutes
38. Chadwick Bosco C. A. 30. Cordero R. 24. Norambuena G. 14. Nunez I. 21. Pereira S. 12. Uribe E. (G) 9. Vilches Araneda A.
31. Fuenzalida I. 17. Kimura N. 1. Leyton R. (G) 13. Opazo D. 11. Ortiz J. 9. Palacios L. 3. Suarez N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Aja J. 🟨,
22', 1 - 0, Massri F. ⚽,
25', Zamorano C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ross C. ↓, Fuenzalida I. ↑,
46', Zamorano C. ↓, Kimura N. ↑,
58', Molina L. 🟥,
63', Ratotti F. ↓, Norambuena G. ↑,
65', Kimura N. 🟨,
68', Celis M. 🟨,
70', Rojas M. ↓, Ortiz J. ↑,
70', Filla M. ↓, Palacios L. ↑,
72', Celis M. ↓, Cordero R. ↑,
79', Araos A. ↓, Nunez I. ↑,
79', Aranguiz P. ↓, Chadwick Bosco C. A. ↑,
90+2', Fernandez E. 🟨,
90+4', Fierro J. 🟨,
90+5', Ledezma I. 🟨,
90+5', Ledezma I. ↓, Opazo D. ↑,
90+8', Santander J. 🟨,
Preview
A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10th and 8th in the Promotion - Liga de Primera (Promotion - Playoffs - Quarter - finals)).
Unión Española is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Copiapó is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Unión Española may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Unión Española has faced a series of away games on the road.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Unión Española holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Unión Española has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:12 (averaging 3:2.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Unión Española against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 8:3 goals (averaging 4:1.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Copiapo
29
11
8
10
43:42
1
41
9
U. Espanola
29
11
6
12
34:37
-3
39
Last Results with these Odds
Deportes Copiapó - the odds 2.87 are the expected chance of winning is 32.38%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Chile
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Fierro J. (G) 
Aja J. 
Massri F. 
Ratotti F. 
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