The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Unión Española 40.9%
Draw 26.1%
Deportes Limache 33%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.7%
27.9%
27.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.7%
27.9%
27.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Unión Española has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
Deportes Limache has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportes Limache's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Española than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Limache than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportes Limache, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
72.7%
18.2%
9.1%
Unión Española - Deportes Limache Predictions
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Unión Española will win (votes: 15 - 75%). Limache will win (votes: 2 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15%). Confidence interval (95%) for Unión Española: 56% – 94%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Unión Española (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DNB - Limache (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH +0.25 - Limache (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH 0 - Unión Española (1.78) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Unión Española (votes: 6 - 60%). Limache (votes: 2 - 20%). Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Torgnascioli F. (G) 3. Vidal V. 16. Ramirez S. 18. Espinoza F. 21. Diaz N. 6. Jauregui B. 10. Uribe A. 22. Aranguiz P. (C) 31. Naranjo L. 23. Jeraldino I. 24. Norambuena G.
1. Borquez M. (G) 4. Torrealba B. 18. Penailillo N. 24. Parot A. 13. Romero F. 25. Llanten M. 32. Portilla D. 34. Pinares C. (C) 9. Da Silva N. 10. Guerra L. 19. Castro D.
Substitutes
8. Carvallo U. B. A. 2. Contreras K. 5. Nadruz A. 7. Ovelar F. 1. Parra M. (G) 13. Pereira S. 19. Vejar B.
20. Jara A. 17. Morales C. 16. Ovalle J. 3. Paz G. 26. Peranic N. (G) 15. Salgado H. 5. Sandoval M.
Coaches
Villagra G.
Rivero V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
19', Espinoza F. 🟨,
20', Aranguiz P. 🟨,
23', Naranjo L. 🟨,
34', 0 - 1, Castro D. ⚽, Pinares C. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Norambuena G. ↓, Vejar B. ↑,
46', Jauregui B. ↓, Nadruz A. ↑,
52', Portilla D. 🟨,
60', Portilla D. ↓, Sandoval M. ↑,
61', Naranjo L. ↓, Ovelar F. ↑,
62', 1 - 1, Espinoza F. ⚽,
64', 1 - 2, Guerra L. ⚽, Sandoval M. (A),
67', Uribe A. 🟨,
79', Ramirez S. ↓, Contreras K. ↑,
80', Diaz N. ↓, Pereira S. ↑,
83', Pinares C. ↓, Paz G. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 2, Jeraldino I. ⚽,
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso and 13).
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Unión Española may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Limache has had a series of home games.
Unión Española is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
Recently, there has been no match between the teams.