Match Info

Liga de Primera - Round 19

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Gustavo Ocaranza (Limache)

Referee: Riquelme M. (Chi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Deportes Limache		Universidad de Chile

	1	X	2
	4	3.8	1.71	Watch
	3.80	3.90	1.80
	3.7	3.6	1.85	Watch
	4.05	4.06	1.84
	3.54	3.85	1.92	Watch
	4	4.05	1.79
	4.16	3.96	1.82	Watch
	3.75	3.65	1.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.88 ↑ (3.36)	3.86 ↑ (3.54)	1.82 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Limache
24.2%

Draw
24.3%

Universidad de Chile
51.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.6%

26.2%

46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.2%

24.9%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Limache has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Universidad de Chile has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Universidad de Chile's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Limache than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad de Chile than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Deportes Limache - Universidad de Chile Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Gonzalez C. (G) 33. Escobar D. 2. Aguirre A. 24. Parot A. (C) 11. Rojas J. 19. Castro D. 27. Galletto T. 10. Valencia Rossel L. 25. Llanten M. 16. Jean David 26. Arturia M.	25. Castellon G. (G) 17. Hormazabal F. 22. Zaldivia M. 5. Ramirez N. 7. Guerrero Pena M. G. 29. Barrera L. 20. Aranguiz C. (C) 14. Morales M. 28. Arce A. 11. Eduardo Vargas 10. Assadi L.
Substitutes
5. Alfonzo A. 15. Alvarez V. 1. Borquez M. (G) 32. Carcamo V. 6. Fuentes C. 14. Martinez H. 3. Molina B. 7. Morales C. 9. Sosa G.	19. Altamirano J. 21. Diaz M. 6. Fernandez N. 18. Lucero J. 15. Reinhart T. 32. Reyna G. 31. Tamayo B. 1. Toselli C. (G) 23. Vasquez Gonzalez I. A.
Coaches
Rivero V.	Gago F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Castro D. ⚽,
45+1', Castro D. 🟨,
45+3', 1 - 1, Hormazabal F. ⚽, Guerrero Pena M. G. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
61', Arturia M. ↓, Sosa G. ↑,
61', Valencia Rossel L. ↓, Martinez H. ↑,
69', Aranguiz C. ↓, Reinhart T. ↑,
69', Assadi L. ↓, Vasquez Gonzalez I. A. ↑,
76', 1 - 2, Arce A. ⚽, Eduardo Vargas (A),
79', Hormazabal F. ↓, Fernandez N. ↑,
79', Arce A. ↓, Lucero J. ↑,
79', Guerrero Pena M. G. ↓, Reyna G. ↑,
79', Galletto T. ↓, Carcamo V. ↑,
85', Rojas J. ↓, Morales C. ↑,
90', 1 - 3, Reyna G. ⚽,
90+5', Jean David 🟨,

Preview

Recent performances by Limache have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Universidad de Chile is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Limache may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Universidad de Chile will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Limache won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 2.3:2).

Including home match between the teams, Limache won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Outrights of Chilean Primera Division for now

U. De Chile: 9.15% Limache: 0.03%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	U. De Chile	23	12	6	5	35:19	16	42
7	Limache	23	10	3	10	43:35	8	33

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Limache
Chilean Primera Division
09.08.26	OHiggins - Deportes Limache	1:3 ✺
Chilean Cup
05.08.26	Deportes Iquique - Deportes Limache	3:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
24.07.26	Colo-Colo - Deportes Limache	3:1 ✺
Chilean Cup
05.07.26	Deportes Limache - San Marcos de Arica	4:1 ✺
01.07.26	Deportes Limache - Coquimbo Unido	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WLLWT
- Universidad de Chile
Chilean Primera Division
09.08.26	Universidad de Chile - Palestino	2:1 ✺
Chilean Cup
05.08.26	Unión San Felipe - Universidad de Chile	0:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
02.08.26	Universidad de Chile - Huachipato	2:0 ✺
26.07.26	Audax Italiano - Universidad de Chile	1:2 ✺
Chilean Cup
05.07.26	Santiago Wanderers - Universidad de Chile	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
22.02.26	Universidad de Chile - Deportes Limache	2:2
09.11.25	Universidad de Chile - Deportes Limache	4:3
23.05.25	Deportes Limache - Universidad de Chile	2:0

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